Al Shahaniya
vs
Al-Rayyan SC
Stars League prediction
Our model says: Al Shahaniya 0–2 Al-Rayyan SC
The model makes it 16% Al Shahaniya, 22% draw, 62% Al-Rayyan SC — fair odds of 6.25, 4.55 and 1.61.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (11%).
Expected goals: Al Shahaniya 0.91, Al-Rayyan SC 2.28.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
One-sided: Al-Rayyan SC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Al Shahaniya's rating is built from 32 Qatar Stars League matches and Al-Rayyan SC's from 31, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 319 matches.
Key facts
- Al Shahaniya are 9th on 10 points from 9 games; Al-Rayyan SC are top on 21 points from 9 games — Stars League.
- Al Shahaniya have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Al Wakrah.
- Al-Rayyan SC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 4-3 win away to Al Sadd.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Rayyan SC 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 24 March 2026, ended Al-Rayyan SC 3–0 Al Shahaniya.
More Qatar Stars League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Shahaniya vs Al-Rayyan SC
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Rayyan SC at 62%: of 1,625 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.5% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Shahaniya vs Al-Rayyan SC
Al Shahaniya
Stars League
- W3-0away to Al Wakrah6 November 2026
- L1-2Al Ahli Doha30 October 2026
- L0-4Al Sadd22 October 2026
- L0-6Al-Arabi SC16 October 2026
- W1-0Lusail City10 October 2026
Al-Rayyan SC
Stars League
- W4-3away to Al Sadd8 November 2026
- D0-0away to Al-Arabi SC31 October 2026
- W6-1away to Al-Sailiya23 October 2026
- D0-0away to Al-Gharafa18 October 2026
- W3-0away to Qatar SC9 October 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al Shahaniya had three goals or more.
- Al-Rayyan SC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Shahaniya | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Shahaniya vs Al-Rayyan SC
- 24 March 2026Al-Rayyan SC 3–0 Al ShahaniyaQSL Cup
- 13 March 2026Al-Rayyan SC 1–2 Al ShahaniyaStars League
- 9 November 2025Al Shahaniya 1–5 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
- 8 February 2025Al Shahaniya 2–1 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
- 13 September 2024Al-Rayyan SC 4–2 Al ShahaniyaStars League
- 30 August 2024Al-Rayyan SC 1–0 Al ShahaniyaQSL Cup
Leading scorers: Al Shahaniya and Al-Rayyan SC
Al Shahaniya
GoalsAssists
- A. Traoré40
Al-Rayyan SC
GoalsAssists
- Róger Guedes62
- Ahmed Alaa Eldin50
- Gabriel Pereira33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al Shahaniya a 0% chance of the title and Al-Rayyan SC 54.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Rayyan SC the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Al Shahaniya against 2.28 for Al-Rayyan SC. Al Shahaniya's attack/defence rating is 0.5/1.77 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.02 for Al-Rayyan SC.
How the model reaches 62% for Al-Rayyan SC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Al-Rayyan SC to win. Then home advantage takes away 1 point, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Al Shahaniya's ratings add 14 points and Al-Rayyan SC's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 62%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage37%−1
- Both sides at this match's level36%−1
- Al Shahaniya's ratings50%+14
- Al-Rayyan SC's ratings62%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al Shahaniya at home · Al-Rayyan SC away
League matches only, Stars League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Stars League matches this season: Al Shahaniya 9, Al-Rayyan SC 9.
Al Shahaniya score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Al-Rayyan SC have let in 2 there.
Al-Rayyan SC score most often in the 16–30 minute window (7 goals); Al Shahaniya have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
Al Shahaniya
- at Qatar SC3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 37%
Al-Rayyan SC
- at Al Shamal3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 54%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.