Qatar Stars League predictions

12 matches ahead, from 8 October to 16 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Al-Rayyan SC, 51% against Al-Gharafa. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Thursday 8 October — 6 matches

15:00 UTC Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City — model 29% / 27% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 3.70 · 2.27.
15:00 UTC Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC — model 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.17 · 3.85.
15:00 UTC Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33.
15:00 UTC Al Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa — model 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.70 · 2.94.
15:00 UTC Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC — model 25% / 27% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.00 · 3.70 · 2.08.
15:00 UTC Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach

Friday 16 October — 6 matches

15:00 UTC Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC — model 32% / 28% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.57 · 2.50.
15:00 UTC Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC — model 45% / 25% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 4.00 · 3.33.
15:00 UTC Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah — model 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.70 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa — model 51% / 26% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 3.85 · 4.35.
15:00 UTC Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC — model 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.70 · 2.44.
15:00 UTC Lusail City vs Al Shamal — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–12 September: the model called the result of 2 of 6 matches.

Al Shamal 1–1 Al Wakrah — the model said 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Al-Sailiya 3–6 Al Sadd — the model said 29% / 27% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Al-Gharafa 0–0 Lusail City — the model said 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
Al-Rayyan SC 3–0 Al Ahli Doha — the model said 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Al-Arabi SC 0–0 Qatar SC — the model said 38% / 31% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Al-Duhail SC 1–1 Al Shahaniya — the model said 51% / 26% / 23%, most likely 2-1: result missed.