Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Al-Fayha
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-Fayha
The model makes it 69% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 18% draw, 13% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 1.45, 5.56 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.88, Al-Fayha 1.01.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
One-sided: Al-Qadisiyah FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Al-Qadisiyah FC's rating is built from 46 Saudi Pro League matches and Al-Fayha's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 716 matches.
Key facts
- Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd on 28 points from 12 games; Al-Fayha are 13th on 11 points from 12 games — Pro League.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 6-0 win away to Al Riyadh.
- Al-Fayha have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-1 win at home to Al-Faisaly FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Qadisiyah FC 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 9 May 2026, ended Al-Fayha 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Qadisiyah FC at 69%: of 503 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.6% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Pro League
- W6-0away to Al Riyadh29 October 2026
- L2-3Al-Hilal23 October 2026
- W1-0away to Al Taawon20 October 2026
- W2-1Abha16 October 2026
- W5-0away to Al Kholood9 October 2026
Al-Fayha
Pro League
- W4-1Al-Faisaly FC31 October 2026
- D2-2away to Al-Hazm22 October 2026
- L2-3Al-Ahli Jeddah19 October 2026
- L0-2away to Al Khaleej Saihat15 October 2026
- D1-1Al Riyadh11 October 2026
What these results say
- Al-Qadisiyah FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Qadisiyah FC had three goals or more.
- Al-Fayha conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Fayha failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Fayha scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
- 9 May 2026Al-Fayha 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League
- 14 January 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC 5–0 Al-FayhaPro League
- 12 April 2025Al-Fayha 2–1 Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League
- 7 November 2024Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–0 Al-FayhaPro League
- 2 February 2019Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–0 Al-FayhaPro League
- 28 September 2018Al-Fayha 4–2 Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- T. Reijnders83
- M. Retegui72
- J. Quiñones65
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al-Qadisiyah FC a 19.7% chance of the title and Al-Fayha 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC the highest probability at 69%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.88 expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC against 1.01 for Al-Fayha. Al-Qadisiyah FC's attack/defence rating is 1.23/1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.42 for Al-Fayha.
How the model reaches 69% for Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al-Qadisiyah FC to win. Then home advantage adds 3 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Al-Qadisiyah FC's ratings add 15 points and Al-Fayha's ratings add 13 points, which lands on the published 69%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage40%+3
- Both sides at this match's level41%+1
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's ratings56%+15
- Al-Fayha's ratings69%+13
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC at home · Al-Fayha away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Qadisiyah FC 12, Al-Fayha 12.
Al-Qadisiyah FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Al-Fayha have let in 8 there.
Al-Fayha score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Al-Qadisiyah FC have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al-Qadisiyah FC
- at Al-Nassr4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs Al Shamal7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 81%
- vs Al-Fateh11 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 75%
- at Al-Hazm15 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 66%
Al-Fayha
- vs Al-Fateh5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 46%
- at Al Diriyah10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- vs Al-Nassr16 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 19%
- at Al-Ettifaq31 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 29%
- vs NEOM7 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 29%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.