Al-Ittihad Kalba
vs
Sharjah FC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–2 Sharjah FC
The model makes it 31% Al-Ittihad Kalba, 25% draw, 44% Sharjah FC — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.55, Sharjah FC 1.93.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Sharjah FC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Al-Ittihad Kalba's rating is built from 33 UAE Pro League matches and Sharjah FC's from 33, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 413 matches.
Key facts
- Al-Ittihad Kalba are 9th on 8 points from 7 games; Sharjah FC are 2nd on 15 points from 7 games — Pro League.
- Al-Ittihad Kalba are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-1 win away to Al-Dhafra.
- Sharjah FC have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
- Last 6 meetings: Sharjah FC 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 17 March 2026, ended Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–2 Sharjah FC.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Sharjah FC
Has the model earned this number?
Sharjah FC at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Sharjah FC
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Pro League
- W3-1away to Al-Dhafra7 November 2026
- D2-2Al-Jazira18 October 2026
- W3-2away to Ajman11 September 2026
- L0-2Al Ain4 September 2026
- L1-4away to Dubai United28 August 2026
Sharjah FC
Pro League
- W2-0Shabab Al Ahli Dubai7 November 2026
- W3-1away to Ajman18 October 2026
- L0-1away to Al Wahda FC11 September 2026
- W4-3Dubai United5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Hatta SC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Ittihad Kalba conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Kalba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Ittihad Kalba had three goals or more.
- Sharjah FC won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sharjah FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 2 | Sharjah FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 5% today
Sharjah FC
Chance to finish in the top two · 13% today
From our Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Sharjah FC
- 17 March 2026Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–2 Sharjah FCPro League
- 18 January 2026Sharjah FC 3–1 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 6 February 2025Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–1 Sharjah FCPro League
- 29 August 2024Sharjah FC 1–0 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 24 February 2024Sharjah FC 1–0 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 18 November 2023Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–1 Sharjah FCLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad Kalba and Sharjah FC
Al-Ittihad Kalba
GoalsAssists
- B. Tetteh33
- A. Noorollahi20
Sharjah FC
GoalsAssists
- Igor Coronado32
- Julimar30
- Harib Abdalla Suhail21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al-Ittihad Kalba a 0% chance of the title and Sharjah FC 4.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sharjah FC the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba against 1.93 for Sharjah FC. Al-Ittihad Kalba's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.54 for Sharjah FC.
How the model reaches 44% for Sharjah FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Sharjah FC to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al-Ittihad Kalba's ratings add 5 points and Sharjah FC's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 44%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al-Ittihad Kalba's ratings39%+5
- Sharjah FC's ratings44%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al-Ittihad Kalba at home · Sharjah FC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Ittihad Kalba 7, Sharjah FC 7.
Al-Ittihad Kalba score most often in the 0–15 minute window (3 goals); Sharjah FC have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al-Ittihad Kalba
- at Hatta SC5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 44%
- vs Al Wahda FC13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 30%
- vs Baniyas SC23 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 43%
- at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai30 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 17%
- at Khorfakkan3 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 36%
Sharjah FC
- vs Khorfakkan5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 52%
- at Al-Wasl FC12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 27%
- vs Al Ain24 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 26%
- vs Al Nasr29 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Baniyas SC3 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 46%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.