On the model's scale they rate 0.63 in attack and 1.15 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Next they travel to Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 37%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
New York City FC travel to Atlanta United FC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta on 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. The model makes it 37% New York City FC, 30% draw and 33% Atlanta United FC, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.27 expected goals for New York City FC against 1.15. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
Recent meetings with Atlanta United FC
- 12 June 2025New York City FC 4–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 29 March 2025Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 17 July 2024Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 6 April 2024New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 21 June 2023Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.