Zulte Waregem
vs
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League prediction
The model makes it 74% Zulte Waregem, 13% draw, 13% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.35, 7.69 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1 (7%).
Expected goals: Zulte Waregem 3.59, SK Beveren 1.61.
Both teams to score: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%, under 2.5: 11%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Zulte Waregem
- W2-1Genk9 August 2026
SK Beveren
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
The two sides
Zulte Waregem carry a model rating of 6.71 against 6.48 for SK Beveren. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Zulte Waregem W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.59 goals for Zulte Waregem and 1.61 for SK Beveren. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Zulte Waregem rate 0.98 in attack and 1.32 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SK Beveren rate 0.87 and 1.94.
That points to 89% for over two and a half goals and 78% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-1 (7%), 4-1 (6%), 2-1 (6%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Zulte Waregem the highest probability at 74%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.59 expected goals for Zulte Waregem against 1.61 for SK Beveren. Zulte Waregem's attack/defence rating is 0.98/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.87/1.94 for SK Beveren.