Standard Liege
vs
RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League prediction
The model makes it 67% Standard Liege, 18% draw, 15% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 1.49, 5.56 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Standard Liege 2.53, RAAL La Louvière 1.14.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Standard Liege
- D2-2Cercle Brugge8 August 2026
RAAL La Louvière
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Where they stand. RAAL La Louvière has not started the league season yet. Full tables
Leading scorers
Standard Liege
- D. Eckert Ayensa2 goals
RAAL La Louvière
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Standard Liege carry a model rating of 6.88 against 6.63 for RAAL La Louvière. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Standard Liege D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.53 goals for Standard Liege and 1.14 for RAAL La Louvière. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Standard Liege rate 1.09 in attack and 1.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; RAAL La Louvière rate 0.80 and 1.23.
That points to 71% for over two and a half goals and 63% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Standard Liege the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.53 expected goals for Standard Liege against 1.14 for RAAL La Louvière. Standard Liege's attack/defence rating is 1.09/1.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.23 for RAAL La Louvière.