21 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Standard Liege 2-0 RAAL La Louvière.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Standard Liege, 21% draw, 22% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 1.75, 4.76 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Standard Liege at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege99%Draw1%RAAL La Louvière0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
Yllan Okou
Alexis Trouillet
46'
🔁H. Lawrenceout: M. Fossey
62'
🔁D. Eckertout: S. Drammeh
62'
⚽S. Drammehassist: B. Nguene
68'
69'
🔁A. Tajaouartout: J. Ito
71'
Mame Wade
72'
🔁T. Lutondaout: M. Kovacs
72'
🔁E. Filetout: Z. Gruber
72'
🔁M. Wadeout: L. Rousseau
⚽S. Drammeh
73'
🔁A. Trouilletout: R. Fosso
79'
🔁B. Ngueneout: B. Nsimba
79'
85'
🔁D. Lamegoout: M. Courcoul
🔁R. Touzgharout: T. Mohr
88'
90+1'
Yllan Okou
90+1'
Yllan Okou

Match stats — Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

64%Possession36%
11Shots13
4On target5
5Corners1
1.15xG1.07

Goals against chances

Standard Liege2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth
RAAL La Louvière0 from 1.07 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-3-3
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 3G. MortensenD
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 17B. NgueneF
  • 10D. EckertF
  • 11A. AbidF
Substitutes
  • 21L. PirardG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 80R. FossoM
  • 7T. MohrM
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 59T. NkadaF
  • 77B. NsimbaF
  • 15S. DrammehM
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2
  • 21M. PeanoG
  • 18S. DelosD
  • 4W. FayeD
  • 99Y. OkouD
  • 25D. LamegoD
  • 5T. LutondaD
  • 10M. WadeM
  • 48I. CoulibalyM
  • 78A. TajaouartM
  • 11M. IsahF
  • 9E. FiletF
Substitutes
  • 91T. RadeletG
  • 22S. GourvilleD
  • 29M. CourcoulM
  • 44M. BoukamirD
  • 23J. ItoM
  • 28B. SoumareM
  • 7M. Kovacs
  • 30Z. GruberF
  • 90L. Rousseau
Coach: Edward Still

Form going into Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026
  • D2-2Cercle Brugge8 August 2026

RAAL La Louvière

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Gent16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Anderlecht9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Standard Liege114341816+215
17RAAL La Louvière112181324-117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

  • 27 February 2026Standard Liege 1–1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 26 July 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

GoalsAssists

  • D. Eckert Ayensa71

RAAL La Louvière

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ubandoma60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Standard Liege beat RAAL La Louvière 2–0. The model had made a win for Standard Liege its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Drammeh 68' for Standard Liege, S. Drammeh 73' for Standard Liege. Sent off: Yllan Okou (RAAL La Louvière) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 1.15–1.07.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.