Hull City vs Manchester United Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Hull City, 22% draw, 54% Manchester United — fair odds of 4.17, 4.55 and 1.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Manchester United at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hull City vs Manchester United
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 19Konstantinos TzolakisG
- 2Lewie CoyleD
- 6Semi AjayiD
- 15John EganD
- 32Nobel MendyD
- 3Ryan GilesD
- 10Mohamed BelloumiM
- 25Matt CrooksM
- 27Regan SlaterM
- 21Elliot StroudM
- 9Oli McBurnieF
- 22Lucas HerringtonD
- 17Paddy McNairD
- 18Cody DramehD
- 7Liam MillarF
- 23Matt TargettD
- 12Dillon PhillipsG
- 14Jens Hjertø-DahlM
- 29Lucas Gourna-DouathM
- 26Kieran DowellM
- 1Senne LammensG
- 3Noussair MazraouiD
- 5Harry MaguireD
- 26Ayden HeavenD
- 23Luke ShawD
- 18Youri TielemansM
- 17Andrey SantosM
- 19Bryan MbeumoM
- 8Bruno FernandesM
- 13Patrick DorguM
- 10Matheus CunhaF
- 9Marcus RashfordF
- 37Kobbie MainooM
- 30Benjamin ŠeškoF
- 2Diogo DalotD
- 31Shea LaceyF
- 12Karl DarlowG
- 15Leny YoroD
- 6Lisandro MartínezD
- 11Joshua ZirkzeeF
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hull City vs Manchester United
- 1 February 2017Manchester United 0–0 Hull CityPremier League
- 26 January 2017Hull City 2–1 Manchester UnitedLeague Cup
- 10 January 2017Manchester United 2–0 Hull CityLeague Cup
- 27 August 2016Hull City 0–1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- 24 May 2015Hull City 0–0 Manchester UnitedPremier League
Leading scorers: Hull City and Manchester United
Hull City
GoalsAssists
- M. Belloumi32
Manchester United
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Fernandes42
- B. Mbeumo40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Manchester United at 54% and given a win for Hull City 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Ajayi 17' for Hull City, N. Mendy 38' for Hull City. On expected goals it finished 1.26–1.81.