Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Lommel United 4-0 KVC Westerlo.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Lommel United, 25% draw, 34% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lommel United at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Matthias PieklakG
- 2Jason van DuivenD
- 3Timothy EyomaD
- 5Dries WoutersD
- 4Shawn AdewoyeD
- 15Lucas SchoofsM
- 6Joey PelupessyM
- 10Tom ReynersM
- 41Sverre NypanM
- 21Stredair AppuahM
- 9Don-Angelo KonaduF
- 11Zalán VancsaM
- 30Ralf SeuntjensF
- 46Niek CorthoutsF
- 1Nikola IvezićG
- 17Emile VandecraenD
- 44Isaiah Dada-MascollM
- 98Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriF
- 7Juho TalvitieF
- 22Đorđe GordićM
- 99Andreas JungdalG
- 23Lucas MbambaD
- 5Seiji KimuraD
- 4Amando LapageD
- 28Dylan OuregaD
- 12Reda LaalaouiM
- 14Cisse SandraM
- 20Cameron CongreveM
- 13Isa SakamotoM
- 7Shunsuke SaitoM
- 9Norman BassetteF
- 2Lasse FløD
- 47Yang Min-hyeokF
- 22Felix TsimbaF
- 45Ibrahim FofanaM
- 17David AmegnagloF
- 1Bill LathouwersG
- 6Reno MünzD
- 24Michée NdembiD
- 39Thomas Van den KeybusM
Form going into Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo
Lommel United
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Charleroi16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Truiden8 August 2026
KVC Westerlo
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
- L1-5Union St. Gilloise8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo
- 8 July 2022Lommel United 1–2 KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs
- 8 July 2022KVC Westerlo 2–1 Lommel UnitedFriendlies Clubs
- 2 April 2022Lommel United 2–1 KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League
- 6 February 2022KVC Westerlo 3–0 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
- 27 November 2021Lommel United 0–1 KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League
Leading scorers: Lommel United and KVC Westerlo
Lommel United
GoalsAssists
- Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu51
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette80
- S. Saito51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lommel United beat KVC Westerlo 4–0. The model had made a win for Lommel United its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Reyners 30' for Lommel United, L. Schoofs 45+4' for Lommel United, D. Konadu 51' for Lommel United, T. Reyners 89' for Lommel United. On expected goals it finished 1.34–0.66.