22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Brentford vs Tottenham Premier League prediction & result

Brentford Community Stadium, London
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Brentford 3-0 Tottenham.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Brentford, 27% draw, 40% Tottenham — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Tottenham at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brentford99%Draw1%Tottenham0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Lewis-Potterassist: M. Sangare
12'
⚽V. Janelt
33'
34'
Conor Gallagher
46'
🔁L. Bergvallout: R. Bentancur
46'
🔁C. Gallagherout: M. Fernandes
⚽M. Kayode
49'
⚽Igor Thiago (pen)
55'
🔁M. Jensenout: Y. Yarmolyuk
67'
🔁D. Ouattaraout: J. Anthony
67'
68'
🔁M. Mooreout: J. Maddison
68'
🔁Richarlisonout: D. Solanke
🔁M. Kayodeout: A. Hickey
76'
🔁M. Sangareout: M. Damsgaard
76'
Vitaly Janelt
78'
🔁I. Thiagoout: C. Wilson
83'
86'
🔁A. Grayout: D. Udogie

Match stats — Brentford vs Tottenham

41%Possession59%
26Shots9
8On target4
7Corners3
3.96xG0.47

Goals against chances

Brentford3 from 3.96 xGless than the chances were worth
Tottenham0 from 0.47 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1
  • 1C. KelleherG
  • 33M. KayodeD
  • 20K. AjerD
  • 22N. CollinsD
  • 23K. Lewis-PotterD
  • 27V. JaneltM
  • 18M. SangareM
  • 11D. OuattaraM
  • 8M. JensenM
  • 7K. SchadeM
  • 9I. ThiagoF
Substitutes
  • 12H. R. ValdimarssonG
  • 3R. HenryD
  • 5E. PinnockD
  • 2A. HickeyD
  • 24M. DamsgaardM
  • 6Y. YarmolyukM
  • 44J. SchusterD
  • 19J. AnthonyF
  • 13C. WilsonF
Coach: Keith Andrews
Tottenham 4-2-3-1
  • 31A. KinskyG
  • 14A. GrayD
  • 6J. P. van HeckeD
  • 5M. SenesiD
  • 3A. RobertsonD
  • 16S. TonaliM
  • 15L. BergvallM
  • 47M. MooreM
  • 8C. GallagherM
  • 11M. TelM
  • 9RicharlisonF
Substitutes
  • 39M. DubravkaG
  • 33B. DaviesD
  • 4K. DansoD
  • 13D. UdogieD
  • 10J. MaddisonM
  • 30R. BentancurM
  • 18M. FernandesM
  • 68L. Williams-BarnettM
  • 19D. SolankeF
Coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Brentford103521611+514
11Tottenham103341011-112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Brentford vs Tottenham

  • 1 January 2026Brentford 0–0 TottenhamPremier League
  • 6 December 2025Tottenham 2–0 BrentfordPremier League
  • 2 February 2025Brentford 0–2 TottenhamPremier League
  • 21 September 2024Tottenham 3–1 BrentfordPremier League
  • 31 January 2024Tottenham 3–2 BrentfordPremier League

The full Brentford vs Tottenham record →

Leading scorers: Brentford and Tottenham

Brentford

GoalsAssists

  • K. Schade30

Tottenham

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Brentford beat Tottenham 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tottenham at 40% and given a win for Brentford 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: K. Lewis-Potter 12' for Brentford, V. Janelt 33' for Brentford, M. Kayode 49' for Brentford. On expected goals it finished 3.96–0.47.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.