10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Zulte Waregem vs Gent Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Elindus Arena, Waregem
Referee: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Zulte Waregem 0-2 Gent.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Zulte Waregem, 29% draw, 36% Gent — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gent at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zulte Waregem0%Draw3%Gent97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽I. Cisse
62'
🔁H. Gooreout: M. Volckaert
62'
🔁I. Cisseout: M. Dean
🔁T. Hedlout: Z. Atrok
66'
69'
🔁M. Delorgeout: T. De Vlieger
•Malick Mbaye
73'
Malick Mbaye
74'
🔁E. Lofolomoout: S. Ujka
78'
87'
🔁L. Lopesout: A. Omgba
87'
🔁M. Sonkoout: E. H. Seck
89'
Aimé Omgba
90'
⚽M. Balikwishaassist: M. Dean

Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Gent

47%Possession53%
13Shots12
3On target7
3Corners4
0.75xG1.5

Goals against chances

Zulte Waregem0 from 0.75 xGless than the chances were worth
Gent2 from 1.50 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zulte Waregem 4-3-3
  • 13B. GabrielG
  • 23S. DiakiteD
  • 4L. LemoineD
  • 5J. KiilerichD
  • 55Y. CappelleD
  • 8T. ClaesM
  • 6E. LofolomoM
  • 11M. AkeM
  • 10M. MbayeF
  • 18A. EmentaF
  • 20T. HedlF
Substitutes
  • 1L. BostynG
  • 45B. De JaegereD
  • 15Y. MbodjiD
  • 22O. NiangM
  • 36S. UjkaM
  • 7N. MituljikicF
  • 21Z. AtrokM
  • 90H. Akpa-ChukwuF
  • 53K. VembaF
Coach: Michael Beale
Gent 3-4-2-1
  • 33D. RoefG
  • 3M. PaskotsiD
  • 16C. BurgessD
  • 44S. Van Der HeydenD
  • 45H. GooreM
  • 22L. LopesM
  • 17M. DelorgeM
  • 20T. AraujoM
  • 7M. BalikwishaF
  • 11M. SonkoF
  • 75I. CisseF
Substitutes
  • 30K. PeersmanG
  • 56M. DialloD
  • 39A. AyindeD
  • 57M. VolckaertD
  • 10A. OmgbaM
  • 37A. KadriM
  • 27T. De VliegerM
  • 21M. DeanF
  • 59E. H. SeckF
Coach: Rik De Mil

Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Gent

Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026

Gent

Jupiler Pro League

  • W2-1Standard Liege18 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Zulte Waregem113261320-711
3Gent11911206+1428

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Gent

  • 13 March 2026Gent 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 19 October 2025Zulte Waregem 4–1 GentJupiler Pro League
  • 20 July 2024Gent 0–2 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
  • 19 July 2023Gent 4–2 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
  • 12 March 2023Zulte Waregem 2–6 GentJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Gent

Zulte Waregem

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hedl42
  • Á. Zalán40

Gent

GoalsAssists

  • I. Cisse40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gent won 2–0 at Zulte Waregem. The model had made a win for Gent its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: I. Cisse 12' for Gent, M. Balikwisha 90' for Gent. Sent off: Malick Mbaye (Zulte Waregem) 74'. On expected goals it finished 0.75–1.50.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zulte Waregem a 13.3% chance to finish in the top four: 17.9% after a win, 11.3% after a draw, 8.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.5%, 4.8 points lower than before the match.

For Gent the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 68.3% going in: 75.7% after a win, 67.6% after a draw, 62.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 75.7%, 7.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.