RAAL La Louvière
vs
Club Brugge KV
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Club Brugge KV
The model makes it 16% RAAL La Louvière, 22% draw, 62% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 6.25, 4.55 and 1.61. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (11%).
Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière 0.81, Club Brugge KV 2.66.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 62% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 675 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
RAAL La Louvière
- L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026
- W3-0Kortrijk13 September 2026
- L0-4away to St. Truiden5 September 2026
- D2-2KV Mechelen29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Standard Liege21 August 2026
Club Brugge KV
- W3-0Genk20 September 2026
- W3-1Antwerp13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gent30 August 2026
- W1-0Cercle Brugge23 August 2026
What these results say
- RAAL La Louvière failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Club Brugge KV scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Club Brugge KV won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
- 16 January 2026Club Brugge KV 2–3 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 13 September 2025RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV
RAAL La Louvière
- M. Ubandoma5 goals
Club Brugge KV
- N. Tresoldi3 goals
- H. Vetlesen3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
RAAL La Louvière carry a model rating of 6.5 against 7.21 for Club Brugge KV. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 0.81 goals for RAAL La Louvière and 2.66 for Club Brugge KV. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
RAAL La Louvière rate 0.69 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Club Brugge KV rate 1.51 and 0.73.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives RAAL La Louvière a 0% chance of the title and Club Brugge KV 21%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Brugge KV the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.81 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière against 2.66 for Club Brugge KV. RAAL La Louvière's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.51/0.73 for Club Brugge KV.