10 October 2026, 16:15 UTC

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Easi Arena
Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Full time1 – 4

Final score: RAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KV.

Before kick-off the model made it 12% RAAL La Louvière, 18% draw, 70% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 8.33, 5.56 and 1.43.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Brugge KV at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

RAAL La Louvière0%Draw1%Club Brugge KV99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Freddie Potts
Shaquil Delos
32'
34'
⚽H. Vetlesenassist: H. Vanaken
Marius Courcoul
39'
Yllan Okou
43'
45'
⚽J. Virgili
🔁E. Filetout: Z. Gruber
46'
53'
⚽N. Tresoldi (pen)
58'
🔁K. Sabbeout: H. Siquet
58'
🔁C. Forbsout: F. Lemarechal
🔁J. Itoout: I. Coulibaly
63'
🔁M. Courcoulout: A. Tajaouart
63'
⚽N. Gillot
64'
Ismaila Coulibaly
66'
•Mustapha Isah
75'
81'
🔁H. Vetlesenout: C. Tsawa
🔁M. Isahout: L. Rousseau
82'
82'
🔁N. Tresoldiout: R. Vermant
🔁N. Gillotout: T. Lutonda
86'
86'
🔁J. Virgiliout: T. N. Koren
90'
⚽F. Lemarechalassist: R. Vermant

Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV

36%Possession64%
17Shots21
3On target7
7Corners3
1.1xG4.88

Goals against chances

RAAL La Louvière1 from 1.10 xGabout what the chances were worth
Club Brugge KV4 from 4.88 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2
  • 21M. PeanoG
  • 3N. GillotD
  • 33P. NkoaD
  • 99Y. OkouD
  • 25D. LamegoD
  • 18S. DelosD
  • 29M. CourcoulM
  • 10M. WadeM
  • 23J. ItoM
  • 9E. FiletF
  • 11M. IsahF
Substitutes
  • 91T. RadeletG
  • 22S. GourvilleD
  • 5T. LutondaD
  • 4W. FayeD
  • 44M. BoukamirD
  • 48I. CoulibalyM
  • 78A. TajaouartM
  • 30Z. GruberF
  • 90L. Rousseau
Coach: Edward Still
Club Brugge KV 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. SommerG
  • 64K. SabbeD
  • 58J. SpileersD
  • 44B. MecheleD
  • 65J. SeysD
  • 8F. PottsM
  • 20H. VanakenM
  • 9C. ForbsM
  • 10H. VetlesenM
  • 11J. VirgiliM
  • 7N. TresoldiF
Substitutes
  • 29N. JackersG
  • 41H. SiquetD
  • 3Lee Han-BeomD
  • 32M. DamsD
  • 16C. TsawaM
  • 85T. N. Koren
  • 80F. LemarechalM
  • 17R. VermantF
  • 67M. DiakhonF
Coach: Ivan Leko

Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV

RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026

Club Brugge KV

Jupiler Pro League

  • W3-0Genk20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17RAAL La Louvière112181324-117
2Club Brugge KV11911279+1828

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV

  • 16 January 2026Club Brugge KV 2–3 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 13 September 2025RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV

RAAL La Louvière

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ubandoma60

Club Brugge KV

GoalsAssists

  • N. Tresoldi81
  • H. Vetlesen51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Brugge KV won 4–1 at RAAL La Louvière. The model had made a win for Club Brugge KV its most likely outcome, at 70%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: H. Vetlesen 34' for Club Brugge KV, J. Virgili 45' for Club Brugge KV, N. Tresoldi (penalty) 53' for Club Brugge KV, N. Gillot 64' for RAAL La Louvière, F. Lemarechal 90' for Club Brugge KV. On expected goals it finished 1.10–4.88.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave RAAL La Louvière a 58.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 48.5% after a win, 52.4% after a draw, 60.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.5%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

For Club Brugge KV the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 45.7% going in: 47.4% after a win, 40.2% after a draw, 38.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.4%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on RAAL La Louvière v Club Brugge KV has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 16% / 22% / 62% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 12% / 18% / 70%: the biggest move is Club Brugge KV's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. RAAL La Louvière win12%▼ −4
  2. Draw18%▼ −4
  3. Club Brugge KV win70%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.