10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Genk vs Kortrijk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Cegeka Arena, Genk
Referee: Wim Smet, Belgium
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Genk 3-0 Kortrijk.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Genk, 21% draw, 12% Kortrijk — fair odds of 1.49, 4.76 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Genk at 67%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Heymans
3'
⚽H. Murray-Campbell (OG)
13'
15'
Shandre Campbell
24'
Matthew Anderson
49'
Shandre Campbell
49'
Shandre Campbell
•Joris Kayembe
63'
⚽R. Durosinmiassist: D. Heymans
63'
🔁B. Tahirovicout: J. Erenbjerg
68'
68'
🔁A. Phillipsout: J. van Landschoot
68'
🔁G. Koyalipouout: S. Ogbuehi
Joris Kayembe
69'
🔁R. Durosinmiout: A. Bibout
76'
🔁J. Kayembeout: M. Roganovic
77'
🔁J. Itoout: J. Afriyie
77'
80'
🔁M. Andersonout: J. Ndjeungoue
80'
🔁R. Kohonout: M. Fofana
80'
🔁B. Dejaegereout: L. De Smet
🔁D. Heymansout: A. De Wannemacker
86'

Match stats — Genk vs Kortrijk

63%Possession37%
13Shots8
6On target1
6Corners4
1.78xG0.65

Goals against chances

Genk3 from 1.78 xGmore than the chances were worth
Kortrijk0 from 0.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Genk 4-3-3
  • 28L. BrughmansG
  • 20K. AmaroD
  • 6M. SmetsD
  • 44J. KongoloD
  • 18J. KayembeD
  • 4B. TahirovicM
  • 38D. HeymansM
  • 8B. HeynenM
  • 10J. ItoF
  • 17R. DurosinmiF
  • 32N. Adedeji-SternbergF
Substitutes
  • 1T. LeysenG
  • 5C. RavychD
  • 25M. RoganovicD
  • 56A. De WannemackerM
  • 21I. BangouraM
  • 11J. ErenbjergM
  • 23A. BiboutF
  • 30A. YokoyamaF
  • 33J. AfriyieF
Coach: Jess Thorup
Kortrijk 4-3-3
  • 1P. GunnarssonG
  • 36R. KohonD
  • 21A. DrouhinD
  • 4H. Murray-CampbellD
  • 3M. AndersonD
  • 19B. DejaegereM
  • 35B. LambertM
  • 70A. PhillipsM
  • 11S. CampbellF
  • 10G. KoyalipouF
  • 68T. AmbroseF
Substitutes
  • 13E. De VlaeminckG
  • 22G. RuyssenD
  • 5J. NdjeungoueD
  • 15M. Fofana
  • 71K. MasuiM
  • 6L. De SmetM
  • 18J. van LandschootF
  • 7S. PodgoreanuF
  • 90S. OgbuehiF
Coach: Daniel Beichler

Form going into Genk vs Kortrijk

Genk

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to Club Brugge KV20 September 2026

Kortrijk

Jupiler Pro League

  • W1-0SK Beveren20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Genk114341815+315
18Kortrijk11119423-194

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Genk vs Kortrijk

  • 7 December 2024Genk 3–2 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 5 October 2024Kortrijk 2–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 17 December 2023Genk 4–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 29 October 2023Kortrijk 0–3 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 26 December 2022Kortrijk 1–0 GenkJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Genk and Kortrijk

Genk

GoalsAssists

  • R. Durosinmi60

Kortrijk

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Genk beat Kortrijk 3–0. The model had made a win for Genk its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: D. Heymans 3' for Genk, H. Murray-Campbell (own goal) 13' for Genk, R. Durosinmi 63' for Genk. Sent off: Shandre Campbell (Kortrijk) 49'. On expected goals it finished 1.78–0.65.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Genk a 13.3% chance to finish in the top four: 14.1% after a win, 11.1% after a draw, 8.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.1%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.

For Kortrijk the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 91.7% going in: 86.8% after a win, 91.3% after a draw, 92.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 92.7%, 1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Genk v Kortrijk has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 59% / 25% / 16% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 67% / 21% / 12%: the biggest move is Genk's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Genk win67%▲ +8
  2. Draw21%▼ −4
  3. Kortrijk win12%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.