Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Zulte Waregem 0-1 Charleroi.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Zulte Waregem, 30% draw, 30% Charleroi — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zulte Waregem at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
Line-ups
- 1L. BostynG
- 49F. TangalaD
- 4L. LemoineD
- 5J. KiilerichD
- 55Y. CappelleD
- 8T. ClaesM
- 6E. LofolomoM
- 22O. NiangM
- 21Á. ZalánM
- 11M. AkéM
- 18A. EmentaF
- 90A. HemsleyF
- 23S. DiakitéD
- 13B. GabriëlG
- 20T. HedlF
- 10M. MbayeF
- 15E. MbodjiD
- 7N. MituljikićF
- 36S. UjkaM
- 53Kewan VembaF
- 30M. KonéG
- 3K. Van Den KerkhofD
- 4A. OusouD
- 95C. KeitaD
- 24M. NzitaD
- 18Y. KhalifiM
- 6A. BoukamirM
- 14P. PflückeM
- 8J. RomsaasM
- 20F. Situmona MbembaM
- 21A. ScheidlerF
- 33N. SolheidD
- 44M. SowD
- 2T. RoweD
- 13G. NawataM
- 65Mory KeraM
- 25A. ColassinF
- 19I. CisseM
- 9A. BojangF
- 1M. DelavalléeG
Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
- W2-0away to Kortrijk6 September 2026
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
- L2-3Union St. Gilloise5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
- 22 March 2026Zulte Waregem 1–0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- 20 September 2025Charleroi 1–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 13 July 2024Charleroi 2–0 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
- 8 April 2023Charleroi 3–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 21 August 2022Zulte Waregem 1–3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Charleroi
GoalsAssists
- F. Situmona Mbemba30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charleroi won 1–0 at Zulte Waregem. The model had leaned towards a win for Zulte Waregem at 40% and given a win for Charleroi 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 29' for Charleroi.
How the call on Zulte Waregem v Charleroi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 30% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Zulte Waregem's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Zulte Waregem win40%▲ +6
- Draw30%=
- Charleroi win30%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.