RAAL La Louvière
vs
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 3-0 Kortrijk.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% RAAL La Louvière, 27% draw, 26% Kortrijk — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière 1.95, Kortrijk 1.11.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RAAL La Louvière at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
Line-ups
- 21M. PeanoG
- 4W. FayeD
- 33P. NkoaD
- 99Y. OkouD
- 7Máté Krisztián KovácsM
- 29M. CourcoulM
- 48I. CoulibalyM
- 18S. DelosM
- 30Z. GruberF
- 11M. UbandomaF
- 78A. TajaouartF
- 44M. BoukamirD
- 9E. FiletF
- 22S. GourvilleD
- 23J. ItoM
- 25D. LamegoD
- 5T. LutondaD
- 91T. RadeletG
- 90L. RousseauF
- 10M. WadeM
- 1P. GunnarssonG
- 25B. VroninksD
- 21A. DrouhinD
- 22G. RuyssenD
- 4Harrison Murray-CampbellD
- 19B. DejaegereM
- 24J. RocheM
- 7S. PodgoreanuM
- 17R. ŠtormanF
- 10G. KoyalipouF
- 68T. AmbroseF
- 18J. Van LandschootF
- 14Lenn De SmetF
- 11S. CampbellF
- 77T. AllietG
- 35B. LambertM
- 71K. MasuiM
- 8N. MehssatouM
- 5J. NdjeungoueD
- 70A. PhillipsM
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
RAAL La Louvière
- L0-4away to St. Truiden5 September 2026
- D2-2KV Mechelen29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Standard Liege21 August 2026
- L1-2Gent16 August 2026
Kortrijk
- L0-2Zulte Waregem6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Anderlecht3 September 2026
- L1-3Charleroi29 August 2026
- L0-3Antwerp15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
- 13 September 2026RAAL La Louvière 3–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Kortrijk
RAAL La Louvière
- M. Ubandoma5 goals
Kortrijk
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.95 goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.11 for Kortrijk; the game produced 3 and 0.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Mustapha Isah Ubandoma 7' (RAAL La Louvière), Mustapha Isah Ubandoma 37' (RAAL La Louvière), Elias Filet 85' (RAAL La Louvière).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives RAAL La Louvière the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière against 1.11 for Kortrijk. RAAL La Louvière's attack/defence rating is 0.92/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.3 for Kortrijk.