Club Brugge KV
vs
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Club Brugge KV 3-1 Antwerp.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Club Brugge KV, 26% draw, 23% Antwerp — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.03, Antwerp 0.98.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Model insights: Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
Line-ups
- 1Y. SommerG
- 41H. SiquetD
- 3Lee Han-BeomD
- 44B. MecheleD
- 65J. SeysD
- 8F. PottsM
- 80F. LemaréchalM
- 9Carlos ForbsM
- 10H. VetlesenM
- 11Jan VirgiliM
- 17R. VermantF
- 81Argus Vanden DriesscheG
- 29N. JackersG
- 58J. SpileersD
- 32M. DamsD
- 54S. CoulibalyD
- 16C. TsawaM
- 85T. N. KorenM
- 67M. DiakhonF
- 7N. TresoldiF
- 41T. NozawaG
- 44M. BusiD
- 4Y. TsunashimaD
- 3Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD
- 17S. RendersD
- 24T. SomersM
- 48A. VermeerenM
- 6B. DeuffM
- 14X. DierckxM
- 25M. FofanaF
- 33S. PorozoF
- 9M. FreyF
- 7I. SalahF
- 8M. BenítezM
- 10C. ScottM
- 27E. TuypensD
- 20R. Van HeldenD
- 81N. DevalckeneerG
- 99Luis NarhF
- 80Carlos MejiaF
Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
Club Brugge KV
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gent30 August 2026
- W1-0Cercle Brugge23 August 2026
- W3-0away to OH Leuven15 August 2026
Antwerp
- L0-1away to Standard Liege5 September 2026
- L1-4St. Truiden30 August 2026
- D4-4Genk22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Kortrijk15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 15 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
- 13 September 2026Club Brugge KV 3–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 30 November 2025Club Brugge KV 0–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 26 October 2025Antwerp 0–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 25 May 2025Club Brugge KV 1–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2025Antwerp 2–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 2 February 2025Antwerp 2–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Club Brugge KV and Antwerp
Club Brugge KV
- N. Tresoldi3 goals
- H. Vetlesen3 goals
Antwerp
- M. Frey4 goals
- A. Valencia3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 2.03 goals for Club Brugge KV and 0.98 for Antwerp; the game produced 3 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Hugo Vetlesen 13' (Club Brugge KV), Snayder Porozo 19' (Antwerp), Hugo Vetlesen 50' (Club Brugge KV), Jan Virgili Tenas 78' (Club Brugge KV).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Brugge KV the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Club Brugge KV against 0.98 for Antwerp. Club Brugge KV's attack/defence rating is 1.04/1.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.2 for Antwerp.