Wisla Plock
vs
Cracovia Krakow
Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Plock 3-1 Cracovia Krakow.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Wisla Plock, 27% draw, 27% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Wisla Plock 1.95, Cracovia Krakow 1.22.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wisla Plock at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
Line-ups
- 12R. LeszczyńskiG
- 4M. Haglind-SangréD
- 35M. KamińskiD
- 34Afonso SilvaD
- 21Ž. RogeljM
- 5Sidnei TavaresM
- 17A. RadwańskiM
- 23P. KunM
- 19D. GallapeniM
- 7O. KobackiF
- 20Ł. SekulskiF
- 18J. PrširM
- 41M. WięckowskiD
- 88K. SavvidīsM
- 57S. AkereM
- 26J. BurekG
- 3M. FlisD
- 10S. HamulićF
- 16F. HiszpańskiM
- 77M. KoscieleckiF
- 13S. MadejskiG
- 25O. KakabadzeD
- 22D. BaumgartnerD
- 61B. TraoréD
- 39M. PerkovićD
- 43M. KlichM
- 6Amir Al AmmariM
- 17M. MinchevM
- 14A. HasićM
- 47S. LtaiefM
- 11L. NordåsF
- 29W. DejM
- 15K. GlikD
- 4G. HenrikssonD
- 70D. KameriM
- 79D. PiłaD
- 7M. PraszelikM
- 5B. SelanM
- 18Kahveh ZahiroleslamF
- 77J. ChrapustaG
Form going into Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
- D1-1away to Pogon Szczecin7 September 2026
- L0-2Korona Kielce28 August 2026
- L0-5away to GKS Katowice23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow7 August 2026
Cracovia Krakow
- L0-1Gornik Zabrze6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom29 August 2026
- W3-2Wieczysta Kraków21 August 2026
- W2-1Raków Częstochowa16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Cracovia Krakow | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow
- 13 September 2026Wisla Plock 3–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 14 March 2026Cracovia Krakow 1–2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 4 December 2025Wisla Plock 0–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 27 May 2023Cracovia Krakow 3–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 11 November 2022Wisla Plock 1–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 13 May 2022Cracovia Krakow 3–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wisla Plock and Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Cracovia Krakow
- A. Hasić3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.95 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.22 for Cracovia Krakow; the game produced 3 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Patryk Kun 10' (Wisla Plock), Sebastian Madejski 61' (Wisla Plock), Mohamed Berte 69' (Cracovia Krakow), Samuel Akere 70' (Wisla Plock).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wisla Plock the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Wisla Plock against 1.22 for Cracovia Krakow. Wisla Plock's attack/defence rating is 0.89/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.35 for Cracovia Krakow.