Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Plzen 2-3 Sigma Olomouc.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Plzen, 28% draw, 27% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Plzen at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
Line-ups
- 44F. WiegeleG
- 29A. GabrielD
- 2T. PališčákD
- 40S. DwehD
- 14Merchas DoskiD
- 17P. HrošovskýM
- 6L. ČervM
- 99A. MemićM
- 18T. LadraM
- 12A. SojkaM
- 7S. LawalF
- 30V. BaierG
- 23B. FaalF
- 25C. KabongoF
- 20Jiří Maxim PanošM
- 36S. PirgiÄM
- 98F. PrebslD
- 19C. SouaréM
- 10M. ToureF
- 13M. TvrdoňG
- 91Jan KoutnýG
- 2A. SyllaD
- 33M. MalýD
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 70A. GhaliM
- 14M. SoldoM
- 7M. BeranM
- 4Léo BorgesM
- 23F. KrivakF
- 10V. SejkF
- 39D. JanošekF
- 19Daniel BaratF
- 17J. DembeF
- 29A. EkerothD
- 22M. HadašD
- 98M. HruškaG
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 26S. NoumbissieD
- 6J. ŠípM
- 8J. SpáčilM
Form going into Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
Plzen
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Hradec Králové9 September 2026
- W3-0away to Artis5 September 2026
- D1-1Slovácko30 August 2026
- W5-1FK Crvena Zvezda27 August 2026
- L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 August 2026
Sigma Olomouc
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Bohemians 19055 September 2026
- L0-1away to Baník Ostrava29 August 2026
- W3-1Pardubice23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Slovácko15 August 2026
- W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
What these results say
- Sigma Olomouc won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sigma Olomouc scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sigma Olomouc conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Plzen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
- 14 February 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–2 PlzenCzech Liga
- 13 September 2025Plzen 1–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 18 May 2025Sigma Olomouc 1–2 PlzenCzech Liga
- 3 February 2025Sigma Olomouc 2–1 PlzenCzech Liga
- 17 September 2024Plzen 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Plzen and Sigma Olomouc
Plzen
GoalsAssists
- C. Kabongo50
- A. Memić43
Sigma Olomouc
GoalsAssists
- V. Sejk43
- A. Ghali41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sigma Olomouc won 3–2 at Plzen. The model had leaned towards a win for Plzen at 45% and given a win for Sigma Olomouc 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ahmad Ghali Abubakar 16' for Sigma Olomouc, Abdoulaye Sylla (own goal) 34' for Plzen, David Tkáč 41' for Sigma Olomouc, Vaclav Sejk 52' for Sigma Olomouc, Baboucarr Faal 85' for Plzen.
How the call on Plzen v Sigma Olomouc has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Plzen's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Plzen win45%▼ −2
- Draw28%=
- Sigma Olomouc win27%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.