FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% FK Liepaja, 40% draw, 29% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 3.23, 2.50 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Austria Vienna v FK Liepaja, 30 Jul →
Austria Vienna went through 5–1 on aggregate.
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna
Line-ups
- 24Davis OssG
- 35Vladislavs SorokinsD
- 26Vjačeslavs IsajevsD
- 33Ilja KorotkovsD
- 2Bart StraalmanD
- 6Rodolphe EkouM
- 32Leonel StrumiaM
- 7Abiodun OgunniyiM
- 44Kyvon LeidsmanM
- 23Amar HaïdaraM
- 18Joseph Oloko EdeF
- 28Andriy KorobenkoM
- 70Danila PatijcuksM
- 77Afonso LeiteF
- 40Roberts UntulisM
- 1Alvis SorokinsG
- 12Danijel PetkovićG
- 3Kirils IljinsD
- 15Cisse MoryD
- 29Lauris LakutisM
- 1Samuel Sahin-RadlingerG
- 3Buhari IbrahimD
- 16Lee Kang-heeD
- 4Jonas FeddersenD
- 26Reinhold RanftlM
- 30Manfred FischerM
- 22Florian WustingerM
- 21Matteo SchablasM
- 7Vasilije MarkovicF
- 10Sanel SaljicF
- 19Johannes EggesteinF
- 15Aleksandar DragovićD
- 37Moritz WelsM
- 20Julian HettwerF
- 6Philipp MaybachM
- 44Valentin ToiflD
- 13Lukas WedlG
- 99Mirko KosG
- 40Daniel NnodimM
- 60Dejan RadonjicD
Leading scorers: FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
No leading scorers listed yet.
Austria Vienna
GoalsAssists
- J. Eggestein30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Austria Vienna won 2–0 at FK Liepaja. The model had leaned towards a draw at 40% and given a win for Austria Vienna 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: F. Wustinger 31' for Austria Vienna, M. Wels 55' for Austria Vienna.