15 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result

Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Dalian Zhixing.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Yunnan Yukun, 24% draw, 23% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Yunnan Yukun at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Yunnan Yukun97%Draw3%Dalian Zhixing0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽F. Acheampongassist: N. Stanciu
20'
Weijie Mao
28'
🔁C. Maleleout: P. Zhu
36'
Weijie Mao
36'
Weijie Mao
41'
Frank Acheampong
41'
🔁Luo Jingout: Lu Zhuoyi
🔁J. Saeterout: Cleber
46'
46'
🔁out: Yang Mingrui
Zihao Yang
50'
🔁Abdusalam Bunyaminout: Duan Liuyu
53'
🔁Yang Zihaoout: Huang Zichang
53'
•Caio Vinícius
55'
⚽Cleber
72'
74'
🔁Feng Boxuanout: Cao Haiqing
74'
🔁F. Acheampongout: Lu Peng
⚽O. Taty Marituassist: Duan Liuyu
81'
84'
Isnik Alimi
🔁Tsui Wang-Kitout: Zhang Chenliang
89'
🔁Xu Xinout: Zhao Yuhao
89'
⚽O. Taty Marituassist: Duan Liuyu
90'

Match stats — Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing

73%Possession27%
30Shots5
9On target2
9Corners3

Line-ups

Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
  • 23Wang ZhifengG
  • 3Tsui Wang-KitD
  • 18Yi TengD
  • 33A. BurcaD
  • 21Yang ZihaoD
  • 10A. Ionita IIM
  • 8Xu XinM
  • 34Caio ViniciusM
  • 39Abdusalam BunyaminF
  • 30J. Saeter
  • 11O. Taty MarituF
Substitutes
  • 1Bao YaxiongG
  • 24Yu JianxianG
  • 5Shi KeD
  • 27Han ZilongM
  • 2Hu RuibaoD
  • 26Zhang ChenliangD
  • 6Zhao YuhaoM
  • 22Duan LiuyuM
  • 7Ye ChuguiD
Coach: Jordi Vinyals
Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
  • 20Liu WeiguoG
  • 12Feng BoxuanD
  • 24Bi JinhaoD
  • 6Song YueD
  • 22W. MaoD
  • 40Liao JintaoM
  • 4I. AlimiM
  • 7Luo JingM
  • 10N. StanciuM
  • 30F. AcheampongM
  • 11C. MaleleF
Substitutes
  • 1Ge PengG
  • 26Huang ZihaoG
  • 33Cao HaiqingD
  • 38Lu ZhuoyiM
  • 15Wen JiabaoD
  • 5Peng ShunjieD
  • 21Lu PengM
  • 9P. DelgadoM
  • 8Zhang HuachenM
Coach: Guoxu Li

Form going into Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing

Yunnan Yukun

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Chengdu Better City8 August 2026

Dalian Zhixing

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Shenyang Urban8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Yunnan Yukun30127115961-243
1Dalian Zhixing30164104944+552

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing

  • 26 April 2026Dalian Zhixing 1–3 Yunnan YukunSuper League
  • 19 September 2025Yunnan Yukun 1–1 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
  • 1 May 2025Dalian Zhixing 3–2 Yunnan YukunSuper League
  • 26 October 2024Yunnan Yukun 2–0 Dalian ZhixingLeague One
  • 15 June 2024Dalian Zhixing 0–3 Yunnan YukunLeague One
  • 10 October 2023Dalian Zhixing 0–1 Yunnan YukunLeague Two

Leading scorers: Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing

Yunnan Yukun

GoalsAssists

  • O. Maritu239
  • Cléber145

Dalian Zhixing

GoalsAssists

  • F. Acheampong124
  • N. Stanciu105

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Yunnan Yukun beat Dalian Zhixing 3–1. The model had made a win for Yunnan Yukun its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: F. Acheampong 13' for Dalian Zhixing, Cleber 72' for Yunnan Yukun, O. Taty Maritu 81' for Yunnan Yukun, O. Taty Maritu 90' for Yunnan Yukun. Sent off: Weijie Mao (Dalian Zhixing) 36'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.