Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Henan Jianye.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Shanghai Shenhua, 30% draw, 17% Henan Jianye — fair odds of 1.89, 3.33 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Shanghai Shenhua at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
Line-ups
- 1Xue QinghaoG
- 13W. ManafaD
- 6Li SongyiD
- 5Zhu ChenjieD
- 27Chan ShinichiD
- 19L. AsueM
- 33Wang HaijianM
- 15Wu XiM
- 21Xu HaoyangM
- 10J. TeixeiraF
- 9Rafael RataoF
- 24Ma ZhenG
- 39D. SunG
- 16Yang ZexiangD
- 26Yang ShuaiD
- 25Zhu YueD
- 2Wang ShilongD
- 36Huang MingD
- 38Wu QipengD
- 30Xie PengfeiM
- 18Wang GuomingG
- 3O. GerbigD
- 2Iago MaidanaD
- 23Lucas MaiaD
- 22Huang RuifengD
- 21He ChaoM
- 6Wang ShangyuanM
- 8Pedro MaranhaoM
- 10Bruno NazarioM
- 7Zhong YihaoM
- 9GustavoF
- 33Shi ChenglongG
- 17Wang JinshuaiG
- 5Liu JiahuiD
- 27Liu YixinD
- 24Yin CongyaoF
- 25Yang YilinM
- 16Yang KuoD
- 13A. AbudulamM
- 30Fan XulinM
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Qingdao Jonoon8 August 2026
Henan Jianye
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Qingdao Youth Island9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 40 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
- 26 April 2026Henan Jianye 0–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 27 July 2025Shanghai Shenhua 3–2 Henan JianyeSuper League
- 23 July 2025Shanghai Shenhua 3–3 Henan JianyeFA Cup
- 29 March 2025Henan Jianye 1–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 18 October 2024Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Henan JianyeSuper League
- 21 May 2024Henan Jianye 1–2 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
GoalsAssists
- Rafael Ratão191
Henan Jianye
GoalsAssists
- Gustavo156
- Bruno Nazário106
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shanghai Shenhua beat Henan Jianye 4–1. The model had made a win for Shanghai Shenhua its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Zhong Yihao 5' for Henan Jianye, Rafael Ratao 45' for Shanghai Shenhua, L. Asue 56' for Shanghai Shenhua, Gao Tianyi 71' for Shanghai Shenhua, Saulo Mineiro 83' for Shanghai Shenhua.