Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Tianjin Teda 2-4 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Tianjin Teda, 27% draw, 48% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Beijing Guoan at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
Line-ups
- 25Yan BingliangG
- 29Ba DunD
- 3Wang ZhenghaoD
- 18A. CordobaD
- 4Yang FanD
- 31Sun Ming-HimD
- 30Wang QiumingM
- 10C. SalvadorM
- 8XadasM
- 9A. QuilesF
- 7Guilherme SchettineF
- 21Qi YuxiG
- 26Zhang HaoranG
- 6Wang XianjunD
- 14Huang JiahuiM
- 20Ji ShengpanF
- 17Wu XinghanD
- 28Guo HaoM
- 24Chen ZhexuanD
- 22Li YongjiaM
- 34Hou SenG
- 21Yue Tze-NamD
- 27Wang GangD
- 24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
- 26Bai YangD
- 7SerginhoM
- 23DawhanM
- 8A. KonteM
- 47Deng JiefuM
- 29F. AbreuF
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 31S. LiuG
- 4Li LeiD
- 30Fan ShuangjieD
- 10Zhang XizheM
- 18Wang YuM
- 36Jia FeifanM
- 41Cheng XiM
- 50H. ZhangM
- 58Z. JiangF
Form going into Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Sichuan Jiuniu7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 31 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 58 | 36 | +22 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
- 25 April 2026Beijing Guoan 2–4 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 3 August 2025Beijing Guoan 2–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 2 April 2025Tianjin Teda 2–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 21 July 2024Beijing Guoan 2–0 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 30 April 2024Tianjin Teda 0–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 9 August 2023Tianjin Teda 0–0 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
GoalsAssists
- Alberto Quiles115
Beijing Guoan
GoalsAssists
- Zhang Yuning157
- Fábio Abreu116
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beijing Guoan won 4–2 at Tianjin Teda. The model had made a win for Beijing Guoan its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: F. Abreu 16' for Beijing Guoan, Dawhan 45' for Beijing Guoan, Cao Yongjing 49' for Beijing Guoan, F. Abreu 53' for Beijing Guoan, J. Liu 70' for Tianjin Teda, A. Quiles 87' for Tianjin Teda.