Rodina Moskva vs Akron Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Rodina Moskva 3-3 Akron.
Before kick-off the model made it 92% Rodina Moskva, 5% draw, 3% Akron — fair odds of 1.09, 20.00 and 33.33.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Rodina Moskva at 92%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodina Moskva vs Akron
Line-ups
- 13Sergey VolkovG
- 80Stanislav BessmertniyD
- 19Dmitriy TananeevD
- 26Artem MeshchaninovD
- 3Leo GoglichidzeD
- 17Soltmurad BakaevM
- 8Iker PozoM
- 38Leon MusaevM
- 9Artem MaksimenkoM
- 77Artur GharibyanF
- 10Yordy ReynaF
- 5Andrey EgorychevM
- 72Astemir GordyushenkoM
- 99Ivan TimoshenkoF
- 49Ilya DyatlovD
- 23Kirill UshatovM
- 71Ilya SvinovG
- 1Sergey AydarovG
- 95Kerfala CissokoF
- 55Mitja KrižanD
- 88Vitali GudievG
- 13Vyacheslav BardybakhinD
- 26Joao EscovalD
- 19Marat BokoevD
- 21Roberto FernándezD
- 80Khetag KhosonovM
- 69Arseniy DmitrievM
- 22Konstantin MaradishviliM
- 15Stefan LončarM
- 14Yuriy ZheleznovM
- 7Gilson TavaresF
- 11DuduF
- 8Kristijan BistrovićM
- 10Kevin ArevaloM
- 81Nikita BazilevskiyM
- 2Yomar RochaD
- 98Roman VolochayG
- 32Ignat TerekhovskiyG
- 89Denis PopenkovM
- 24Ionuț NedelcearuD
Form going into Rodina Moskva vs Akron
Rodina Moskva
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Zenit9 August 2026
Akron
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Lokomotiv8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rodina Moskva | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodina Moskva vs Akron
- 2 July 2026Rodina Moskva 0–5 AkronFriendlies Clubs
- 23 January 2025Akron 2–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
- 23 January 2025Akron 2–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
- 3 March 2024Akron 0–2 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
- 14 October 2023Rodina Moskva 0–1 AkronFirst League
Leading scorers: Rodina Moskva and Akron
Rodina Moskva
GoalsAssists
- A. Maksimenko31
Akron
GoalsAssists
- Gilson Benchimol42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rodina Moskva and Akron drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Rodina Moskva at 92% and given a draw 5%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 20 matches like this one. The goals: A. Maksimenko 12' for Rodina Moskva, A. Maksimenko 45+1' for Rodina Moskva, S. Loncar 51' for Akron, Benchimol 71' for Akron, A. Maksimenko 76' for Rodina Moskva, K. Arevalo 86' for Akron.