Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Super League prediction & result
Final score: Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 Tianjin Teda.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Wuhan Three Towns, 22% draw, 26% Tianjin Teda — fair odds of 1.92, 4.55 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Wuhan Three Towns at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22Fang JingqiG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2He GuanD
- 11Li AngD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 50A. LeauteyM
- 18Zhang XiaobinM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10K. BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29J. CadizF
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 28Wang DennyD
- 19Liu YimingD
- 5Li ShenyuanD
- 8Wang JinxianM
- 12Liao ChengjianM
- 15Chen ZhechaoD
- 16Min ZixiM
- 13Zheng KaimuM
- 25Yan BingliangG
- 29Ba DunD
- 4Yang FanD
- 18A. CordobaD
- 6Wang XianjunD
- 31Sun Ming-HimD
- 8XadasM
- 14Huang JiahuiM
- 10C. SalvadorM
- 30Wang QiumingM
- 9A. QuilesF
- 21Qi YuxiG
- 3Wang ZhenghaoD
- 20Ji ShengpanF
- 17Wu XinghanD
- 28Guo HaoM
- 24Chen ZhexuanD
- 22Li YongjiaM
- 16Liu ShuaiM
- 11Xie WeijunF
Form going into Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
All competitions we cover
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG14 August 2026
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown8 August 2026
Tianjin Teda
All competitions we cover
- L2-4Beijing Guoan15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
- 1 May 2026Tianjin Teda 2–2 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 14 September 2025Tianjin Teda 4–0 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 27 April 2025Wuhan Three Towns 2–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 16 August 2024Tianjin Teda 1–0 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 26 April 2024Wuhan Three Towns 2–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 23 September 2023Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
Leading scorers: Wuhan Three Towns and Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz226
Tianjin Teda
GoalsAssists
- Alberto Quiles115
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wuhan Three Towns and Tianjin Teda drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Wuhan Three Towns at 52% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 3.64–1.16.