Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 Shandong Luneng.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Qingdao Youth Island, 31% draw, 24% Shandong Luneng — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Qingdao Youth Island at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16H. LiG
- 19Dong YuD
- 5S. MemisevicD
- 2Bruno VianaD
- 22Wang GengruiD
- 8X. ZhangM
- 28Zhang ChengdongM
- 10N. Da LuzM
- 25Peng XinliM
- 11DavidsonM
- 9A. YakubuF
- 37Dong HangG
- 26Liu ShiboG
- 36Sun JieD
- 32Ding HaifengD
- 15Wang PengD
- 20He LonghaiM
- 4Lohman ElnizarD
- 35Nan SongM
- 18B. BraunshtainM
- 1Yu JinyongG
- 33Gao ZhunyiD
- 2Yang RuiqiD
- 23P. AlvaroD
- 11Liu YangD
- 7Xie WennengM
- 8Guilherme MadrugaM
- 35Huang ZhengyuM
- 29Chen PuM
- 9CryzanF
- 10V. QazaishviliF
- 32Sun QihangG
- 36Liu QiweiG
- 5Zheng ZhengD
- 3Peng XiaoD
- 15Shi SongchenD
- 22Y. LiM
- 28Mijit MewlanF
- 38Memet ImranM
- 34Yin JiaxiM
Form going into Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Chongqing Tongliang Long14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye9 August 2026
Shandong Luneng
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Qingdao Jonoon14 August 2026
- W2-1Tianjin Teda9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 39 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | +11 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng
- 1 May 2026Shandong Luneng 1–1 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
- 24 August 2025Shandong Luneng 3–2 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
- 15 April 2025Qingdao Youth Island 1–5 Shandong LunengSuper League
- 13 September 2024Shandong Luneng 0–1 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
- 17 July 2024Qingdao Youth Island 0–4 Shandong LunengFA Cup
- 4 May 2024Qingdao Youth Island 0–0 Shandong LunengSuper League
Leading scorers: Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Shandong Luneng
GoalsAssists
- Cryzan209
- V. Qazaishvili1010
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Qingdao Youth Island beat Shandong Luneng 2–0. The model had made a win for Qingdao Youth Island its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Yakubu 5' for Qingdao Youth Island, Davidson 82' for Qingdao Youth Island. Sent off: Xinli Peng (Qingdao Youth Island) -5', Guilherme Madruga (Shandong Luneng) 89'. On expected goals it finished 0.70–1.40.