Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result
Final score: Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Wuhan Three Towns, 20% draw, 16% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Wuhan Three Towns at 64%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Line-ups
- 22Jingqi FangG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2Guan HeD
- 11Ang LiD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 50Antoine LeauteyM
- 18Xiaobing ZhangM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10Kilian BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29Jhonder CádizF
- 15Zhechao ChenD
- 21Jizheng XiongM
- 6Wei LongM
- 8Jinxian WangM
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 19Yiming LiuD
- 13Kaimu ZhengM
- 9Zheng HaoqianF
- 16MinM
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 22Xi YangD
- 13Zhen WeiD
- 40Yusup UmidjanD
- 28Yue XinD
- 23Fu HuanM
- 10Mateus VitalM
- 7Wu LeiM
- 21Óscar MelendoM
- 17Prince AmpemM
- 45LeonardoF
- 32Shuai LiD
- 3Guangtai JiangD
- 8Jean Claude AziangbeD
- 33Liu ZhurunF
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 12Chen WeiG
- 19Wang ZhenaoD
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
- 47Kuai JiwenF
Form going into Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown8 August 2026
SHANGHAI SIPG
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Chongqing Tongliang Long9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 22 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 37 | +19 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- 25 April 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 4–0 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 26 September 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–2 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 5 May 2025Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 25 June 2024Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 1 March 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 12 July 2023SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
Leading scorers: Wuhan Three Towns and SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz226
SHANGHAI SIPG
GoalsAssists
- Leonardo145
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SHANGHAI SIPG won 3–2 at Wuhan Three Towns. The model had leaned towards a win for Wuhan Three Towns at 64% and given a win for SHANGHAI SIPG 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: J. Cadiz 3' for Wuhan Three Towns, Wei Zhen 50' for SHANGHAI SIPG, P. O. Ampem 55' for SHANGHAI SIPG, P. O. Ampem 59' for SHANGHAI SIPG, A. Leautey 75' for Wuhan Three Towns.