Lask Linz
vs
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Lask Linz 2–0 WSG Wattens
The model makes it 70% Lask Linz, 18% draw, 12% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).
Expected goals: Lask Linz 2.77, WSG Wattens 0.91.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Lask Linz are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Lask Linz are 2nd on 19 points from 9 games; WSG Wattens are 8th on 8 points from 8 games — Bundesliga.
- Lask Linz have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-0 win away to Austria Lustenau.
- WSG Wattens are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Ried.
- Last 6 meetings: Lask Linz 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 7 February 2026, ended Lask Linz 1–0 WSG Wattens.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lask Linz at 70% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 332 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.9%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens
Lask Linz
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau17 October 2026
- L0-2Rapid Vienna11 October 2026
- D3-3away to TSV Hartberg20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sturm Graz13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Wolfsberger AC1 September 2026
WSG Wattens
- L1-2Ried10 October 2026
- L0-3away to Rapid Vienna18 September 2026
- D2-2TSV Hartberg13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Austria Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau28 August 2026
What these results say
- Lask Linz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lask Linz conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lask Linz had three goals or more.
- WSG Wattens scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for WSG Wattens had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lask Linz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 19 |
| 8 | WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Lask Linz
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 14% today
WSG Wattens
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 38% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens
- 7 February 2026Lask Linz 1–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 10 August 2025WSG Wattens 3–1 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 3 May 2025WSG Wattens 1–3 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 18 April 2025Lask Linz 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 9 March 2025Lask Linz 2–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 20 October 2024WSG Wattens 1–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
Leading scorers: Lask Linz and WSG Wattens
Lask Linz
GoalsAssists
- C. Lang50
- S. Adeniran41
- M. Usor23
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Lask Linz carry a model rating of 6.71 against 6.26 for WSG Wattens. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.77 goals for Lask Linz and 0.91 for WSG Wattens. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Lask Linz rate 0.96 in attack and 1.28 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; WSG Wattens rate 0.55 and 1.78.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Lask Linz a 14.3% chance of the title and WSG Wattens 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Lask Linz the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.77 expected goals for Lask Linz against 0.91 for WSG Wattens. Lask Linz's attack/defence rating is 0.96/1.28 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.78 for WSG Wattens.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Lask Linz at home · WSG Wattens away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Lask Linz 9, WSG Wattens 8.
Lask Linz score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); WSG Wattens have let in 3 there.
WSG Wattens score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Lask Linz have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Lask Linz
- vs Slovan Bratislava3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 48%
- at Ried7 Nov · Bundesligawin 49%
- vs TSV Hartberg21 Nov · Bundesligawin 63%
WSG Wattens
- vs Austria Vienna8 Nov · Bundesligawin 38%
- vs Austria Lustenau21 Nov · Bundesligawin 48%
- at Sturm Graz29 Nov · Bundesligawin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.