WSG Wattens
vs
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: WSG Wattens 2–1 Austria Lustenau
The model makes it 50% WSG Wattens, 25% draw, 25% Austria Lustenau — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: WSG Wattens 1.91, Austria Lustenau 1.18.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. WSG Wattens's rating is built from 44 Austrian Bundesliga matches and Austria Lustenau's from 12, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 462 matches.
Key facts
- WSG Wattens are 7th on 13 points from 12 games; Austria Lustenau are 8th on 11 points from 12 games — Bundesliga.
- WSG Wattens are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Austria Vienna.
- Austria Lustenau have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Grazer AK.
- Last 5 meetings: WSG Wattens 3 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 28 August 2026, ended Austria Lustenau 0–4 WSG Wattens.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: WSG Wattens vs Austria Lustenau
Has the model earned this number?
WSG Wattens at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into WSG Wattens vs Austria Lustenau
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
- D1-1Austria Vienna8 November 2026
- L1-2away to Lask Linz31 October 2026
- D1-1Grazer AK24 October 2026
- W2-0away to Wolfsberger AC18 October 2026
- L1-2Ried10 October 2026
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
- W2-1Grazer AK7 November 2026
- L1-5away to Red Bull Salzburg1 November 2026
- L1-5away to Rapid Vienna24 October 2026
- L0-4Lask Linz17 October 2026
- L3-4away to TSV Hartberg11 October 2026
What these results say
- WSG Wattens scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- WSG Wattens failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- WSG Wattens conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Austria Lustenau conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Austria Lustenau had three goals or more.
- Austria Lustenau failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
WSG Wattens
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 12% today
Austria Lustenau
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 58% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Austria Lustenau
- 28 August 2026Austria Lustenau 0–4 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 31 January 2026Austria Lustenau 0–6 WSG WattensFriendlies Clubs
- 27 April 2024WSG Wattens 0–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 30 March 2024Austria Lustenau 1–2 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 11 February 2024WSG Wattens 0–2 Austria LustenauBundesliga
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Austria Lustenau
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen50
Austria Lustenau
GoalsAssists
- D. Weixelbraun61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
How the call on WSG Wattens v Austria Lustenau has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 52% / 24% / 24% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 50% / 25% / 25%: the biggest move is WSG Wattens's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- WSG Wattens win50%▼ −2
- Draw25%▲ +1
- Austria Lustenau win25%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives WSG Wattens the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for WSG Wattens against 1.18 for Austria Lustenau. WSG Wattens's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/2.21 for Austria Lustenau.
How the model reaches 50% for WSG Wattens to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for WSG Wattens to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, WSG Wattens's ratings add 3 points and Austria Lustenau's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 50%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- WSG Wattens's ratings46%+3
- Austria Lustenau's ratings50%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
WSG Wattens at home · Austria Lustenau away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
WSG WattensAustria Lustenau
WSG Wattens are 7th after 12 Bundesliga matches (between 3rd and 11th so far); Austria Lustenau are 8th after 12 (between 3rd and 11th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: WSG Wattens 12, Austria Lustenau 12.
WSG Wattens score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Austria Lustenau have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
WSG Wattens
- at Sturm Graz29 Nov · Bundesligawin 16%
- at Ried6 Dec · Bundesligawin 26%
- vs SCR Altach12 Dec · Bundesligawin 42%
- vs Lask Linz23 Jan · Bundesligawin 24%
- at Grazer AK30 Jan · Bundesligawin 35%
Austria Lustenau
- vs Rapid Vienna28 Nov · Bundesligawin 13%
- at Wolfsberger AC6 Dec · Bundesligawin 33%
- vs TSV Hartberg11 Dec · Bundesligawin 26%
- vs Red Bull Salzburg23 Jan · Bundesligawin 12%
- at SCR Altach30 Jan · Bundesligawin 27%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.