Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim
The model makes it 46% Eintracht Frankfurt, 22% draw, 32% 1899 Hoffenheim — fair odds of 2.17, 4.55 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.31, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.86.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%, under 2.5: 21%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Eintracht Frankfurt's rating is built from 43 Bundesliga matches and 1899 Hoffenheim's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 697 matches.
Key facts
- Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th on 12 points from 9 games; 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th on 12 points from 9 games — Bundesliga.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to SC Paderborn 07.
- 1899 Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to FC Schalke 04.
- Last 6 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 24 January 2026, ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim.
More Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Has the model earned this number?
Eintracht Frankfurt at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
- D2-2away to SC Paderborn 077 November 2026
- W3-1Hamburger SV1 November 2026
- L0-1away to Borussia Dortmund24 October 2026
- W1-01. FC Köln16 October 2026
- L0-6away to RB Leipzig10 October 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga
- W2-1FC Schalke 048 November 2026
- L0-2away to Werder Bremen31 October 2026
- W3-0Bayer Leverkusen25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Borussia Mönchengladbach18 October 2026
- L2-3Hamburger SV10 October 2026
What these results say
- Eintracht Frankfurt conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 1899 Hoffenheim scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 1899 Hoffenheim conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for 1899 Hoffenheim had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Eintracht Frankfurt
Chance to finish in the top four · 4% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1899 Hoffenheim
- 24 January 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 30 August 20251899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 26 January 20251899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 31 August 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 10 March 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 21 October 20231899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Leading scorers: Eintracht Frankfurt and 1899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
GoalsAssists
- Y. Ebnoutalib61
- J. Burkardt51
1899 Hoffenheim
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour 1899 Hoffenheim (ninth, with Eintracht Frankfurt tenth), while our numbers lean to Eintracht Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt rate 1.12 in attack and 1.13 in defence, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.07 and 1.12 (lower is better in defence), so Eintracht Frankfurt have been the better side in attack on recent expected goals, which the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.31 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt against 1.86 for 1899 Hoffenheim. Eintracht Frankfurt's attack/defence rating is 1.12/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.12 for 1899 Hoffenheim.
How the model reaches 46% for Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Eintracht Frankfurt to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Eintracht Frankfurt's ratings add 1 point and 1899 Hoffenheim's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 46%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage43%+5
- Both sides at this match's level44%+1
- Eintracht Frankfurt's ratings45%+1
- 1899 Hoffenheim's ratings46%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 1899 Hoffenheim away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Eintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th after 9 Bundesliga matches (between 5th and 13th so far); 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th after 9 (between 9th and 16th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Eintracht Frankfurt 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 9.
Eintracht Frankfurt score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); 1899 Hoffenheim have let in 1 there.
1899 Hoffenheim score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Eintracht Frankfurt have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Eintracht Frankfurt
- at VfB Stuttgart28 Nov · Bundesligawin 27%
- vs Werder Bremen5 Dec · Bundesligawin 45%
- at Borussia Mönchengladbach12 Dec · Bundesligawin 44%
- at Bayer Leverkusen19 Dec · Bundesligawin 23%
- vs FC Schalke 049 Jan · Bundesligawin 50%
1899 Hoffenheim
- vs Sturm Graz26 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 56%
- vs FC Augsburg29 Nov · Bundesligawin 45%
- at SC Freiburg5 Dec · Bundesligawin 22%
- at Anderlecht10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 30%
- vs Bayern München13 Dec · Bundesligawin 17%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.