Vissel Kobe
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
AFC Champions League Elite prediction
Our model says: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Jeonbuk Motors
The model makes it 45% Vissel Kobe, 28% draw, 27% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Vissel Kobe 1.70, Jeonbuk Motors 1.05.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Vissel Kobe are 5th on 3 points from 1 game; Jeonbuk Motors are 6th on 3 points from 1 game — AFC Champions League Elite, East Region.
- Vissel Kobe have won 3 of their last 5, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Kashima.
- Jeonbuk Motors are without a win in 3, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Gwangju FC.
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vissel Kobe at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
Vissel Kobe
- W2-1away to Port FC16 September 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
- W2-1Kashiwa Reysol16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors
- 22 August 2022Vissel Kobe 1–3 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League
Leading scorers: Vissel Kobe and Jeonbuk Motors
Vissel Kobe
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Jeonbuk Motors
- Italo1 goal
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Vissel Kobe carry a model rating of 6.62 against 6.59 for Jeonbuk Motors. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.70 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.05 for Jeonbuk Motors. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Vissel Kobe rate 0.78 in attack and 1.24 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Jeonbuk Motors rate 0.70 and 1.19.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vissel Kobe the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.70 expected goals for Vissel Kobe against 1.05 for Jeonbuk Motors. Vissel Kobe's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.19 for Jeonbuk Motors.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Vissel Kobe
- at Daejeon Citizen27 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 30%
- vs Ratchaburi3 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 63%
- at Công An Nhân Dân24 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 40%
- vs Newcastle Jets1 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 54%
- vs Pohang Steelers10 Feb · AFC Champions League Elitewin 53%
Jeonbuk Motors
- vs Jeju United FC18 Oct · K League 1win 38%
- at FC Anyang24 Oct · K League 1win 42%
- at Beijing Guoan27 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 33%
- vs Johor Darul Takzim FC3 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 49%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.