Batman Petrolspor
vs
İstanbulspor
1. Lig prediction
Our model says: Batman Petrolspor 2–1 İstanbulspor
The model makes it 50% Batman Petrolspor, 25% draw, 25% İstanbulspor — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Batman Petrolspor 2.39, İstanbulspor 1.33.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Batman Petrolspor are 4th on 16 points from 8 games; İstanbulspor are 18th on 5 points from 8 games — 1. Lig.
- Batman Petrolspor have won 3 of their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Bursaspor.
- İstanbulspor have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-0 win away to Manisa F.K..
- Last 4 meetings: İstanbulspor 3 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 February 2015, ended Batman Petrolspor 0–1 İstanbulspor.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Batman Petrolspor at 50% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor
Batman Petrolspor
- L1-2Bursaspor19 September 2026
- L0-4away to Bodrum FK12 September 2026
- W4-3Fatih Karagümrük6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Vanspor FK2 September 2026
- W2-1Sivasspor29 August 2026
İstanbulspor
- W1-0away to Manisa F.K.20 September 2026
- L0-4away to Kayserispor14 September 2026
- L1-2Iğdır FK7 September 2026
- L0-4away to Bursaspor3 September 2026
- D1-1Fatih Karagümrük29 August 2026
What these results say
- Batman Petrolspor scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Batman Petrolspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Batman Petrolspor had three goals or more.
- İstanbulspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- İstanbulspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 |
| 18 | İstanbulspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor
- 22 February 2015Batman Petrolspor 0–1 İstanbulspor3. Lig - Group 1
- 3 October 2014İstanbulspor 2–0 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 1
- 12 May 2012İstanbulspor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 2
- 30 December 2011Batman Petrolspor 0–2 İstanbulspor3. Lig - Group 2
Leading scorers: Batman Petrolspor and İstanbulspor
Batman Petrolspor
- P. Yaldır3 goals1 assist
- Pedrinho3 goals
İstanbulspor
No player in 1. Lig's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Batman Petrolspor carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.22 for İstanbulspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.39 goals for Batman Petrolspor and 1.33 for İstanbulspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Batman Petrolspor rate 0.71 in attack and 1.91 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; İstanbulspor rate 0.58 and 2.07.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Batman Petrolspor a 2.4% chance of the title and İstanbulspor 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Batman Petrolspor the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.39 expected goals for Batman Petrolspor against 1.33 for İstanbulspor. Batman Petrolspor's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.91 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/2.07 for İstanbulspor.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Batman Petrolspor at home · İstanbulspor away
League matches only, 1. Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Lig matches this season: Batman Petrolspor 8, İstanbulspor 8.
Batman Petrolspor score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); İstanbulspor have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Batman Petrolspor
- at Kayserispor18 Oct · 1. Ligwin 27%
- vs Esenler Erokspor25 Oct · 1. Ligwin 40%
- at Manisa F.K.31 Oct · 1. Ligwin 32%
- at Mardin 19698 Nov · 1. Ligwin 27%
İstanbulspor
- vs Antalyaspor18 Oct · 1. Ligwin 31%
- at Muğlaspor24 Oct · 1. Ligwin 26%
- vs Mardin 19691 Nov · 1. Ligwin 32%
- at Pendikspor7 Nov · 1. Ligwin 26%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.