Kheybar Khorramabad
vs
Persepolis FC
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Kheybar Khorramabad 0-0 Persepolis FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Kheybar Khorramabad, 25% draw, 43% Persepolis FC — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Kheybar Khorramabad 1.49, Persepolis FC 1.84.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Model insights: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Persepolis FC at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC
Kheybar Khorramabad
- D2-2away to Chadormalu SC9 October 2026
- L0-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran7 September 2026
- W2-0Foolad FC2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aluminium Arak28 August 2026
Persepolis FC
- W3-1Sanat Naft9 October 2026
- W2-0ZOB Ahan7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Esteghlal FC2 September 2026
- W3-0Malavan29 August 2026
What these results say
- Kheybar Khorramabad failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Persepolis FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Persepolis FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Persepolis FC won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC
- 20 February 2026Persepolis FC 1–2 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 18 October 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 2–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 8 May 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 1–2 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 27 December 2024Persepolis FC 2–1 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
The two sides
Kheybar Khorramabad carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.62 for Persepolis FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.49 goals for Kheybar Khorramabad and 1.84 for Persepolis FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kheybar Khorramabad rate 0.69 in attack and 1.82 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Persepolis FC rate 0.84 and 1.33.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Kheybar Khorramabad a 0% chance of the title and Persepolis FC 29.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Persepolis FC the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for Kheybar Khorramabad against 1.84 for Persepolis FC. Kheybar Khorramabad's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.33 for Persepolis FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.