10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Referee: Mattia Drigo, Italy
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Virtus Entella 1-1 Juve Stabia.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Virtus Entella, 31% draw, 29% Juve Stabia — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Virtus Entella at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Virtus Entella0%Draw4%Juve Stabia96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Niccolo Squizzato
19'
Leonardo Benedetti
27'
32'
Marco Bellich
47'
⚽Antonio Di Nardoassist: Giusepe Sibilli
🔁Niccolo Squizzatoout: Lucas Felippe
53'
🔁Leonardo Benedettiout: Francesco Mezzoni
54'
🔁Luca Vignaliout: Giacomo Corona
65'
66'
🔁Fabio Maistroout: Kevin Piscopo
67'
🔁Giusepe Sibilliout: Sana Fernandes
73'
🔁Antonio Di Nardoout: Leonardo Candellone
81'
🔁Christian Pierobonout: Manuel Ricciardi
81'
🔁Davide Buglioout: Thomas Battistella
🔁Stefano Di Marioout: Marwane Kritta
82'
🔁Luigi Cupponeout: M Tirelli
82'
90+5'
Justin Kumi
⚽Giacomo Corona
90+6'

Match stats — Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia

53%Possession47%
14Shots13
2On target2
5Corners3
1.31xG1.01

Goals against chances

Virtus Entella1 from 1.31 xGabout what the chances were worth
Juve Stabia1 from 1.01 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Virtus Entella 4-4-2
  • 22F. Del FrateG
  • 23L. ParodiD
  • 6A. TiritielloD
  • 27M. AlborghettiD
  • 26Stefano Di MarioD
  • 8L. VignaliM
  • 5N. SquizzatoM
  • 80L. BenedettiM
  • 11Bernat GuiuM
  • 24A. FranzoniF
  • 10L. CupponeF
Substitutes
  • 91S. ColombiG
  • 18T. AnnoniM
  • 9Giacomo CoronaF
  • 55Lucas FelippeM
  • 70Marwane KrittaD
  • 94F. MezzoniM
  • 39M. MotoleseD
  • 3N. PrevitaliD
  • 17M. TirelliF
Coach: A. Chiappella
Juve Stabia 4-3-3
  • 23P. BoerG
  • 96T. MaggioniD
  • 87D. BettellaD
  • 6M. BellichD
  • 25T. DouglasD
  • 10C. PierobonM
  • 8D. BuglioM
  • 24J. KumiM
  • 37F. MaistroF
  • 9Antonio Di NardoF
  • 33G. SibilliF
Substitutes
  • 4M. BaldiD
  • 5T. BattistellaM
  • 27L. CandelloneF
  • 92F. GalleaD
  • 17N. KarićM
  • 77S. FernandesF
  • 7Nicola PatanèF
  • 11K. PiscopoF
  • 2M. RicciardiD
Coach: P. De Giorgio

Form going into Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia

Virtus Entella

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Cremonese19 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Pisa11 September 2026
  • D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
  • L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026

Juve Stabia

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Cesena18 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Vicenza Virtus12 September 2026
  • L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Palermo23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Virtus Entella failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Virtus Entella conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Juve Stabia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Juve Stabia failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Virtus Entella112451114-310
13Juve Stabia114431211+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia

  • 24 January 2026Juve Stabia 1–0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • 23 August 2025Virtus Entella 1–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
  • 10 July 2020Juve Stabia 1–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • 1 December 2019Virtus Entella 2–0 Juve StabiaSerie B
  • 18 May 2019Juve Stabia 2–2 Virtus EntellaSerie C - Girone A

Leading scorers: Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia

Virtus Entella

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Juve Stabia

GoalsAssists

  • Antonio Di Nardo70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Virtus Entella at 40% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Antonio Di Nardo 47' for Juve Stabia, Giacomo Corona 90+6' for Virtus Entella. On expected goals it finished 1.31–1.01.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.