Viking vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Viking 8-1 Kristiansund BK.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Viking, 29% draw, 28% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viking at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 9 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Viking vs Kristiansund BK
Line-ups
- 1A. ØstbøG
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 6G. StensnessD
- 25H. FalchenerD
- 28K. HaugenD
- 16H. BjørdalM
- 8J. BellM
- 7K. AskildsenM
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 22E. BotheimF
- 10Z. TripićF
- 29T. MoiM
- 19A. CosicF
- 30Ľ. BelkoG
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 2H. HaugenD
- 3V. VevatneD
- 23N. FuglestadF
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
- 11R. PostemaF
- 1M. LansingG
- 59M. ElviusD
- 4J. JúlíussonD
- 17M. WilliamsenD
- 25J. KitolanoD
- 7S. SvendsenM
- 10H. BrusethM
- 6J. IsaksenM
- 24G. ChristensenF
- 19L. AlvheimF
- 11Z. BytyqiF
- 23T. SvendsenM
- 22H. HaugenD
- 20W. IgorM
- 27A. RønningF
- 14S. SkeideM
- 5D. UlvestadD
- 12A. SætherG
- 3F. FlexD
- 16D. TufekcicM
Form going into Viking vs Kristiansund BK
Viking
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to VfB Stuttgart9 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
- W3-1Dinamo Zagreb26 August 2026
- D2-2away to Dinamo Zagreb18 August 2026
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Tromso6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Ham-Kam30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad16 August 2026
- W2-1Molde9 August 2026
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
What these results say
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Viking conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Viking.
- Kristiansund BK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 59 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Viking vs Kristiansund BK
- 24 May 2026Kristiansund BK 1–2 VikingEliteserien
- 25 May 2025Kristiansund BK 0–1 VikingEliteserien
- 10 April 2025Viking 3–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 7 March 2025Viking 5–2 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
- 10 November 2024Kristiansund BK 0–1 VikingEliteserien
Leading scorers: Viking and Kristiansund BK
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen157
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking beat Kristiansund BK 8–1. The model had made a win for Viking its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Peter Christiansen 4' for Viking, Henrik Heggheim 6' for Viking, Kristoffer Haugen 20' for Viking, Erik Botheim 29' for Viking, Erik Botheim 45+1' for Viking, Leander Alvheim 45+4' for Kristiansund BK, Henrik Bjørdal 58' for Viking, Niklas Fuglestad 82' for Viking, Simen Kvia Egeskog 90+1' for Viking.
How the call on Viking v Kristiansund BK has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 29% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Viking's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Viking win43%▼ −2
- Draw29%=
- Kristiansund BK win28%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.