13 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Ham-Kam vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result

Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Full time1 – 5

Final score: Ham-Kam 1-5 Molde.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Ham-Kam, 31% draw, 37% Molde — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Molde at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ham-Kam0%Draw1%Molde99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Jalal Abdullaiassist: Niklas Ödegard
6'
Jalal Abdullai
17'
🔁Birk Risaout: Fredrik Kristensen Dahl
🔁Fredrik Sjolstadout: Aleksander Andresen
41'
⚽Mohamed Ofkirassist: Aleksander Andresen
46'
56'
⚽Trent Kone-Dohertyassist: Sondre Granaas
58'
⚽Trent Kone-Dohertyassist: Jalal Abdullai
🔁William Osnes-Ringenout: Anders Trondsen
62'
🔁David Benjaminout: Henrik Udahl
62'
62'
🔁Sander Hestetun Kilenout: Mats Møller Dæhli
63'
🔁Mathias Lovikout: Kristian Lonebu
63'
🔁Jalal Abdullaiout: Martin Linnes
🔁Mohamed Ofkirout: Blerton Isufi
78'
🔁Ethan Amundsen-Dayout: Danilo Al-Saed
78'
84'
⚽Trent Kone-Doherty
89'
🔁Sondre Granaasout: Noah Ljøen Bye
90'
⚽Kristian Lonebuassist: Emil Breivik

Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Molde

48%Possession52%
15Shots18
3On target7
6Corners2

Line-ups

Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 2M. GjoneD
  • 23F. SjølstadD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 7V. JónssonD
  • 8M. JohnsgårdM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 28David BenjaminF
  • 11M. OfkirF
Substitutes
  • 24D. Al-SaedF
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 29B. IsufiM
  • 26P. MetcalfeM
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 18Duarte MoreiraF
  • 13S. ØstraatG
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 19H. UdahlF
Coach: T. Myhre
Molde 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. PosiadałaG
  • 8M. LøvikD
  • 6N. ØdegårdD
  • 33B. RisaD
  • 26S. KabiniD
  • 10E. BreivikM
  • 30D. DagaM
  • 24Trent Toure Kone DohertyM
  • 23S. GranaasM
  • 16S. KilenM
  • 9J. AbdulaiF
Substitutes
  • 21O. Spiten-NysæterF
  • 20K. LonebuF
  • 25M. LinnesD
  • 12P. LervikG
  • 11C. Zady SeryF
  • 27F. DahlD
  • 17M. Møller DæhliM
  • 28V. BenderM
  • 45N. L. ByeD
Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Form going into Ham-Kam vs Molde

Ham-Kam

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4away to Rosenborg5 September 2026
  • D2-2Kristiansund BK30 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Brann16 August 2026
  • D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Valerenga31 July 2026

Molde

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0KFUM Oslo6 September 2026
  • W4-3away to Valerenga30 August 2026
  • W3-2Tromso16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Kristiansund BK9 August 2026
  • D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ham-Kam failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ham-Kam conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Ham-Kam had three goals or more.
  • Molde scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Molde conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Molde had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Ham-Kam2475123351-1826
3Molde2413475736+2143

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Molde

  • 12 April 2026Molde 4–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 9 August 2025Molde 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 25 May 2025Ham-Kam 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
  • 25 August 2024Molde 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 7 April 2024Ham-Kam 0–1 MoldeEliteserien

Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Molde

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.

Molde

GoalsAssists

  • K. Lonebu122
  • E. Breivik1010
  • E. Hestad82

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Molde won 5–1 at Ham-Kam. The model had made a win for Molde its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jalal Abdullai 5' for Molde, Mohamed Ofkir 46' for Ham-Kam, Trent Kone-Doherty 56' for Molde, Trent Kone-Doherty 58' for Molde, Trent Kone-Doherty 84' for Molde, Kristian Lonebu 90' for Molde.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.