13 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund Eliteserien prediction & result

KFUM Arena, Oslo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: KFUM Oslo 2-1 Aalesund.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% KFUM Oslo, 28% draw, 33% Aalesund — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KFUM Oslo at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KFUM Oslo96%Draw4%Aalesund0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Mbacke Diop
⚽Eirik Saunes (pen)
6'
⚽Bilal Njieassist: Bjorn Martin Kristensen
10'
31'
Sander Erik Kartum
39'
⚽Marcus Reed
⚽Hakon Helland Hosethassist: Martin Tangen Vinjor
45+3'
53'
Ólafur Gudmundsson
🔁Hakon Rostenout: Daniel Schneider
57'
🔁David Hickson Gyeduout: Ola Visted
57'
60'
Luca Podlech
Daniel Schneider
61'
63'
🔁Kristoffer Nessoout: Jakob Nyland Örsahl
63'
🔁Sander Erik Kartumout: Stefano Vecchia
🔁Bilal Njieout: Rasmus Eggen Vinge
71'
🔁Bjorn Martin Kristensenout: Julian Bakkeli Gonstad
71'
73'
🔁Isak Gabriel Skotheimout: Elias Heggland Myrlid
73'
🔁Marius Andresenout: Simen Vatne Haram
77'
Simen Vatne Haram
🔁Martin Tangen Vinjorout: Brage Tobiassen
88'
88'
Kjetil André Rekdal

Match stats — KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund

39%Possession61%
9Shots19
5On target3
6Corners4

Line-ups

KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 1E. ØdegaardG
  • 24H. RøstenD
  • 5F. BerglieD
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 19E. SaunesM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 11O. VistedM
  • 23M. EikremM
  • 17J. GonstadF
  • 25H. JensenG
  • 33A. NouriD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 21S. SjøkvistD
  • 8B. TobiassenM
  • 18R. VingeF
Coach: J. Isnes
Aalesund 5-3-2
  • 1Luca PodlechG
  • 7K. NessøD
  • 2M. AndresenD
  • 28D. MbackeD
  • 3Ó. GuðmundssonD
  • 14U. CharlesD
  • 21M. ChristensenM
  • 18E. HagenM
  • 19S. KartumM
  • 8I. SkotheimF
  • 27H. M. ReedF
Substitutes
  • 15E. OsenbrochM
  • 23S. VecchiaM
  • 17E. MyrlidF
  • 26T. LarsenG
  • 16J. ØrsahlD
  • 4S. HaramD
  • 22E. EngqvistD
  • 38T. LeikangerM
Coach: K. Rekdal

Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund

KFUM Oslo

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Molde6 September 2026
  • L1-4away to Start30 August 2026
  • D1-1Lillestrom15 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Sandefjord7 August 2026
  • W2-1Kristiansund BK2 August 2026

Aalesund

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Start4 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Viking30 August 2026
  • D5-5Valerenga16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ham-Kam9 August 2026
  • L2-6Tromso2 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8KFUM Oslo2486103039-930
14Aalesund2459104053-1324

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund

  • 12 April 2026Aalesund 2–2 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 29 October 2021KFUM Oslo 2–4 Aalesund1. Division
  • 23 May 2021Aalesund 1–0 KFUM Oslo1. Division
  • 18 September 2019Aalesund 2–1 KFUM Oslo1. Division
  • 21 July 2019KFUM Oslo 2–4 Aalesund1. Division

Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Aalesund

KFUM Oslo

GoalsAssists

  • B. Njie71

Aalesund

GoalsAssists

  • M. Christensen104

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

KFUM Oslo beat Aalesund 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for KFUM Oslo at 39%. The goals: Bilal Njie 10' for KFUM Oslo, Marcus Reed 39' for Aalesund, Hakon Helland Hoseth 45+3' for KFUM Oslo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.