Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 32% draw, 34% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 34% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC
Line-ups
- 41M. ParkG
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 4Kim Hyun-WooD
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 56K. LeeM
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 17Kim Joo-ChanM
- 9G. LeeF
- 51Ahn Jun-SuG
- 46M. ChungM
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 55T. ParkM
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 48Hong Yun-SangF
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokD
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24H. ParkD
- 23M. TuciD
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 77A. HleihelF
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 41Y. KimG
- 33Hong ChulD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 26W. ChoF
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 74J. Choe
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC22 August 2026
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
What these results say
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Halaihal40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC drew 2–2. The goals: Kim Joo-Chan 4' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Park Se-Jin 43' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Park Sang-Hyeok 74' for Gangwon FC, Kim Dae-Won (penalty) 90' for Gangwon FC.
How the call on Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Gangwon FC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 32% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 34% / 32% / 34%: the biggest move is Gimcheon Sangmu FC's chance of winning, down 10 points.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win34%▼ −10
- Draw32%=
- Gangwon FC win34%▲ +10
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Gimcheon Sangmu FC's most recent league matches and Gangwon FC's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.