Start vs Brann Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Start 2-0 Brann.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Start, 29% draw, 31% Brann — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Start at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Start vs Brann
Line-ups
- 45F. ManojlovićG
- 29E. ReitanD
- 5S. GranheimD
- 28J. HusebøD
- 3A. UjkaniD
- 27O. ToureD
- 10S. MvouéM
- 23E. SegbergM
- 18M. UglandM
- 20H. LorentzenF
- 9N. KoutsakosF
- 24S. Strand-KolbjørnsenG
- 17J. CorneliusF
- 13S. GriesbeckM
- 8N. JojićF
- 4J. MeyerD
- 15M. NordalF
- 2F. PålerudD
- 11E. SchulzeM
- 35S. SamuyiwaM
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 2L. CornicD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 23T. PedersenD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 18J. SørensenM
- 11B. FinneM
- 25N. Jensen WassbergM
- 10K. IngasonM
- 14U. MathisenF
- 9N. CastroF
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 16K. EriksenM
- 21N. KasanwirjoD
- 39J. LægreidF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 15J. TorsvikD
- 41Andreas WilhelmsenD
- 43B. HaugenM
Form going into Start vs Brann
Start
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Aalesund4 September 2026
- W4-1KFUM Oslo30 August 2026
- L0-1Fredrikstad8 August 2026
- L0-3Viking1 August 2026
- W2-1away to Kristiansund BK25 July 2026
Brann
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
- W3-2PAOK27 August 2026
- D1-1away to PAOK20 August 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
What these results say
- Start conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Start vs Brann
- 12 July 2026Brann 2–1 StartEliteserien
- 4 August 2022Brann 1–0 Start1. Division
- 7 July 2022Start 0–2 Brann1. Division
- 9 December 2020Start 1–1 BrannEliteserien
- 19 July 2020Brann 1–1 StartEliteserien
Leading scorers: Start and Brann
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Start beat Brann 2–0. The model had made a win for Start its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ousmane Diallo Toure 44' for Start, Jesper Cornelius 90+4' for Start.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.