Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 1-1 FC Anyang.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Gwangju FC, 25% draw, 25% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gwangju FC at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang
Line-ups
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 22Kwon Sung-YunD
- 39Min Sang-GiD
- 2Jang Seok-HwanD
- 17Joao PedroD
- 40Shin Chang-MooM
- 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
- 37Ri Yong-jikM
- 9Ha Seung-UnM
- 50A. Ba LouaF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 6Ahn Young-KyuD
- 11H. FridjonssonF
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 1Kim Kyeong-minG
- 77Oh Ha-jong
- 33Park Won-JaeD
- 7E. SaitoskiM
- 14Yu Je-HoM
- 31Kim Da-SolG
- 17Kang Ji-hunD
- 3Kim Ji-hunD
- 33D. BakkerD
- 22Kim Dong-JinD
- 24Kim Bo-KyungM
- 8Kim Jung-HyunM
- 18B. KnezevicM
- 71Chae Hyun-wooF
- 19Kim UnF
- 27Choi Geon-JooF
- 99Ju Hyun-WooD
- 25J. KimD
- 23Kim Jeong-HoonG
- 5Kim Young-ChanD
- 21Kwon Kyung-WonD
- 26Lee Jin-YongM
- 7Matheus OliveiraM
- 11Airton MoisesF
- 28Blaise TsagueF
Form going into Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang
Gwangju FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Jeju United FC9 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC6 September 2026
- L2-5FC Seoul30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Gangwon FC26 August 2026
- L0-1Incheon United23 August 2026
FC Anyang
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
- L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bucheon FC 199529 August 2026
- W2-1Incheon United26 August 2026
- L0-7FC Seoul22 August 2026
What these results say
- Gwangju FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Gwangju FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Anyang had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 69 | -39 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and FC Anyang
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale80
- A. Ba Loua34
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gwangju FC and FC Anyang drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gwangju FC at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Iredale 11' for Gwangju FC, Chae Hyun-woo 26' for FC Anyang.
How the call on Gwangju FC v FC Anyang has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 25% / 25%: the biggest move is Gwangju FC's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Gwangju FC win50%▲ +12
- Draw25%▼ −4
- FC Anyang win25%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.