Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve Stabia.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Vicenza Virtus, 28% draw, 30% Juve Stabia — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vicenza Virtus at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia
Line-ups
- 16R. GagnoG
- 28L. CaferriD
- 14G. CuomoD
- 23N. BrighentiD
- 29L. ZontaM
- 4M. CarraroM
- 10M. ValotiM
- 27T. SandonM
- 21T. CorazzaM
- 9C. MorraF
- 33S. MerkajF
- 30M. VescoviD
- 99A. PietrelliM
- 5R. MarchizzaD
- 7N. RautiF
- 44R. TalaricoM
- 68E. TantalocchiG
- 24Filippo AlessioF
- 26G. PellizzariM
- 6M. LeverbeD
- 23P. BoerG
- 96T. MaggioniD
- 19N. PietrangeliD
- 6M. BellichD
- 73G. ScuderiD
- 17N. KarićM
- 8D. BuglioM
- 10C. PierobonM
- 7Nicola PatanèF
- 9Antonio Di NardoF
- 27L. CandelloneF
- 80F. ArtioliM
- 4M. BaldiD
- 5T. BattistellaM
- 87D. BettellaD
- 20L. CaccavoF
- 25T. DouglasD
- 24J. KumiM
- 37F. MaistroM
- 11K. PiscopoF
Form going into Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia
Vicenza Virtus
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Virtus Entella6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Avellino29 August 2026
- W3-2Catanzaro21 August 2026
Juve Stabia
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Palermo23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia
Vicenza Virtus
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Juve Stabia
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Di Nardo50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vicenza Virtus at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Tommaso Corazza 52' for Vicenza Virtus, Antonio Di Nardo (penalty) 78' for Juve Stabia.