Catanzaro vs Carrarese Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Catanzaro 1-0 Carrarese.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Catanzaro, 29% draw, 30% Carrarese — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Catanzaro at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Catanzaro vs Carrarese
Line-ups
- 22M. PigliacelliG
- 24M. RuggeroD
- 4Matias AntoniniD
- 26B. VerrengiaD
- 93M. DorvalM
- 10J. PetriccioneM
- 98N. MostiM
- 30G. AlesiM
- 20S. PafundiM
- 9P. IemmelloM
- 31E. PecorinoF
- 3M. ImperialeD
- 1C. MariettaG
- 27A. CandelaD
- 62R. FrosininiD
- 14S. GiovaneM
- 21F. CassaM
- 29F. Di FrancescoF
- 19N. KoffiF
- 7N. BusoF
- 1S. PizzignaccoG
- 13F. RuggeriD
- 6F. OlianaD
- 33F. RealeD
- 28J. MartiniM
- 77G. ParlantiM
- 18Nicolás SchiaviM
- 17L. TopalovićM
- 73J. RouhiM
- 9F. AbiusoF
- 11M. CisséF
- 10T. RubinoF
- 21N. BonfantiF
- 32M. FinottoF
- 70N. CudrigF
- 7N. BelloniM
- 5T. MacchioniD
- 20Gonçalo EstevesD
- 12G. GarofaniG
- 23M. BraunöderM
Form going into Catanzaro vs Carrarese
Catanzaro
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Sudtirol5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Pisa30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Vicenza Virtus21 August 2026
Carrarese
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Empoli5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Ascoli29 August 2026
- L1-2Mantova22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Catanzaro vs Carrarese
- 4 March 2026Carrarese 3–3 CatanzaroSerie B
- 13 September 2025Catanzaro 1–1 CarrareseSerie B
- 12 April 2025Carrarese 2–2 CatanzaroSerie B
- 1 September 2024Catanzaro 3–1 CarrareseSerie B
Leading scorers: Catanzaro and Carrarese
Catanzaro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Carrarese
GoalsAssists
- T. Rubino30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Catanzaro beat Carrarese 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Catanzaro at 41%. The goal: Pietro Lemmello 83' for Catanzaro.