Veres Rivne
vs
Bukovyna
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Veres Rivne 1–0 Bukovyna
The model makes it 36% Veres Rivne, 31% draw, 33% Bukovyna — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Veres Rivne 1.15, Bukovyna 1.06.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, under 2.5: 62%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
A tight game: Veres Rivne and Bukovyna are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Veres Rivne's rating is built from 42 Ukrainian Premier League matches and Bukovyna's from 11, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Veres Rivne are 13th on 9 points from 12 games; Bukovyna are 10th on 10 points from 11 games — Premier League.
- Veres Rivne have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Polessya.
- Bukovyna have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Kolos Kovalivka.
- Last 5 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 1 draw; the most recent, 1 July 2026, ended Veres Rivne 2–3 Bukovyna.
More Ukrainian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna
Has the model earned this number?
Veres Rivne at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
Premier League
- L0-2away to Polessya6 November 2026
- L1-3Chornomorets31 October 2026
- L0-2Kolos Kovalivka23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Obolon'-Brovar16 October 2026
- L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026
Bukovyna
Premier League
- D1-1Kolos Kovalivka8 November 2026
- D0-0Kryvbas KR25 October 2026
- L1-4away to Kudrivka17 October 2026
- D2-2Polessya11 October 2026
- L0-2away to FC Kharkiv19 September 2026
What these results say
- Veres Rivne did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Veres Rivne conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Veres Rivne failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bukovyna did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bukovyna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Veres Rivne
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 65% today
Bukovyna
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 44% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna
- 1 July 2026Veres Rivne 2–3 BukovynaFriendlies Clubs
- 21 March 2025Veres Rivne 2–0 BukovynaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 November 2019Bukovyna 5–4 Veres RivneDruha Liga - Group A
- 14 September 2019Veres Rivne 2–0 BukovynaDruha Liga - Group A
- 19 April 2019Bukovyna 0–0 Veres RivneDruha Liga - Group A
Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
GoalsAssists
- André Gonçalves22
Bukovyna
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Bukovyna (10th, with Veres Rivne 13th), while our numbers lean to Veres Rivne. Veres Rivne rate 0.44 in attack and 1.84 in defence, Bukovyna 0.48 and 1.60 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Veres Rivne the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Veres Rivne against 1.06 for Bukovyna. Veres Rivne's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.6 for Bukovyna.
How the model reaches 36% for Veres Rivne to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Veres Rivne to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Veres Rivne's ratings take away 3 points and Bukovyna's ratings take away 3 points, which lands on the published 36%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level42%−2
- Veres Rivne's ratings39%−3
- Bukovyna's ratings36%−3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Veres Rivne at home · Bukovyna away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Veres Rivne 12, Bukovyna 11.
Bukovyna score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Veres Rivne have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Veres Rivne
- at Kryvbas KR28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 21%
- vs Livyi Bereh5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 32%
- vs FC Kharkiv12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 19%
- at Dynamo Kyiv27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 9%
- vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 36%
Bukovyna
- at Shakhtar Donetsk28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 7%
- vs Chornomorets5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 40%
- at LNZ Cherkasy12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 17%
- at Obolon'-Brovar27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 34%
- vs Karpaty6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.