Regular Season - 13 · 21 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka Premier League prediction

Our model says: Kryvbas KR 2–1 Kudrivka

The model makes it 56% Kryvbas KR, 22% draw, 22% Kudrivka — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Kryvbas KR 2.46, Kudrivka 1.37.

Both teams to score: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to Kryvbas KR: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Kryvbas KR's rating is built from 40 Ukrainian Premier League matches and Kudrivka's from 44, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Kryvbas KR are bottom on 7 points from 10 games; Kudrivka are 15th on 8 points from 12 games — Premier League.
  • Kryvbas KR have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
  • Kudrivka have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Chornomorets.
  • Last 2 meetings: Kryvbas KR 2 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 12 April 2026, ended Kudrivka 1–2 Kryvbas KR.

More Ukrainian Premier League predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka

69%
Both teams to score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Kryvbas KR win Draw Kudrivka win
  1. 2–19%
  2. 1–18%
  3. 3–17%
  4. 2–07%
  5. 2–26%
  6. 3–05%
  7. 3–25%

Scores read Kryvbas KR first; the other scorelines share the remaining 53%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Kryvbas KR at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka

Kryvbas KR

Premier League

  • D1-1away to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi7 November 2026
  • L0-2Dynamo Kyiv2 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Bukovyna25 October 2026
  • L0-3LNZ Cherkasy18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Polessya18 September 2026

Kudrivka

Premier League

  • W1-0Chornomorets7 November 2026
  • L0-5away to Karpaty2 November 2026
  • L1-3away to Dynamo Kyiv23 October 2026
  • W4-1Bukovyna17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Kryvbas KR did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Kryvbas KR failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kryvbas KR conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kudrivka scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kudrivka conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Kudrivka had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Kryvbas KR10145816-87
15Kudrivka122281229-178

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Kryvbas KR

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 41% today

Win 35%
Draw 45%
Defeat 54%

Kudrivka

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 76% today

Win 64%
Draw 76%
Defeat 81%

From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka

  • 12 April 2026Kudrivka 1–2 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 5 October 2025Kryvbas KR 3–1 KudrivkaPremier League

Leading scorers: Kryvbas KR and Kudrivka

Kryvbas KR

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Where the model differs from the table

The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Kudrivka (15th, with Kryvbas KR 16th), while our numbers lean to Kryvbas KR. Kryvbas KR rate 0.65 in attack and 1.93 in defence, Kudrivka 0.59 and 2.33 (lower is better in defence), so Kryvbas KR have been the better side at both ends on recent expected goals, which the 1-point gap in the table does not yet show.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Kryvbas KR Kudrivka
0.65 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.59
1.93 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 2.33
2.46 Model expected goals (this match) 1.37

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Kryvbas KR the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.46 expected goals for Kryvbas KR against 1.37 for Kudrivka. Kryvbas KR's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/2.33 for Kudrivka.

Kryvbas KR carry a model rating of 6.31 against 6.18 for Kudrivka. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 56% for Kryvbas KR to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Kryvbas KR to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 3 points, Kryvbas KR's ratings add 4 points and Kudrivka's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 56%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level47%+3
  4. Kryvbas KR's ratings51%+4
  5. Kudrivka's ratings56%+5

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Kryvbas KRKudrivka
10Matches12
1W 4D 5LRecord2W 2D 8L
8 0.8 per gameGoals scored12 1.0 per game
16 1.6 per gameGoals conceded29 2.4 per game
1 of 10Clean sheets3 of 12
5 of 10Failed to score4 of 12
1 of 1Penalties scored1 of 1
20 2.0 per gameYellow cards33 2.8 per game
1Red cards3
4-1-4-1 4×Usual shape4-3-3 5×

Kryvbas KR at home · Kudrivka away

5Played7
0W 2D 3LRecord0W 1D 6L
4–12Goals for – against5–22
0 of 5Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier League matches this season: Kryvbas KR 10, Kudrivka 12.

Kryvbas KR scored 040230
Kudrivka conceded 213868

Kryvbas KR score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Kudrivka have let in 1 there.

Kudrivka scored 234121
Kryvbas KR conceded 213153

Kudrivka score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Kryvbas KR have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Kryvbas KR

  • vs FC Kharkiv25 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 26%
  • vs Veres Rivne28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 54%
  • at Shakhtar Donetsk5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 8%
  • at Karpaty12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 15%
  • vs Zorya Luhansk27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 38%

Kudrivka

  • vs FC Kharkiv28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 20%
  • at Zorya Luhansk5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 17%
  • at Shakhtar Donetsk12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 5%
  • vs Livyi Bereh27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 35%
  • at Obolon'-Brovar6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 32%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.