Valladolid vs Oviedo Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Valladolid 0-3 Oviedo.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Valladolid, 29% draw, 40% Oviedo — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Oviedo at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Valladolid vs Oviedo
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro AcevesG
- 14Iván AlejoD
- 5Ramón MartínezD
- 4David TorresD
- 18ClercD
- 21J. PonceauM
- 16Álex BalboaM
- 23T. AbedM
- 7Luis ChacónM
- 22K. de RooijM
- 20R. DuivenF
- 30Víctor FernándezM
- 3Homam AhmedD
- 19Adrian ArnuncioF
- 17Victor BarberáF
- 11Yeray CabanzónF
- 27Iván GarrielD
- 24S. JurićM
- 9Juanmi LatasaF
- 26L. LavagninoG
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 2AisarD
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 23Carlos DomínguezD
- 3Juan CruzD
- 5Y. DidiM
- 6Dani VillahermosaM
- 10Alberto ReinaM
- 8Mikel GotiM
- 20Pablo SáenzM
- 24A. IșfanF
- 30Marco EstebanD
- 18V. MingoF
- 11Jacobo GonzálezF
- 21David JiménezD
- 28D. MenendezM
- 17EstanisF
- 32Enzo PerezF
- 15S. RodriguezD
- 1Miguel NarváezG
Form going into Valladolid vs Oviedo
Valladolid
All competitions we cover
- W1-0FC Andorra5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Cadiz30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Eibar23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Mallorca15 August 2026
Oviedo
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Burgos6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Albacete29 August 2026
- L0-1Leganes22 August 2026
- D0-0Granada CF15 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Valladolid had two goals or fewer.
- Valladolid failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Valladolid conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Oviedo had two goals or fewer.
- Oviedo failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Oviedo failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Valladolid vs Oviedo
- 23 February 2024Valladolid 3–0 OviedoSegunda División
- 24 September 2023Oviedo 0–1 ValladolidSegunda División
- 13 March 2022Oviedo 3–0 ValladolidSegunda División
- 12 December 2021Valladolid 2–1 OviedoSegunda División
- 20 April 2018Oviedo 1–2 ValladolidSegunda División
Leading scorers: Valladolid and Oviedo
Valladolid
GoalsAssists
- Adrian Arnuncio41
Oviedo
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Domínguez40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oviedo won 3–0 at Valladolid. The model had made a win for Oviedo its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Carlos Dominguez 25' for Oviedo, Dani Calvo 53' for Oviedo, Pablo Saenz 56' for Oviedo.