Mallorca vs Sabadell Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Mallorca 2-0 Sabadell.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Mallorca, 28% draw, 24% Sabadell — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mallorca at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mallorca vs Sabadell
Line-ups
- 1Arnau TenasG
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 21RaílloD
- 22A. SouhmahoroD
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 7Álex SalaM
- 19Josep CerdàF
- 18FuentesF
- 33Adrian LisoF
- 16A. BuksaF
- 13L. BergströmG
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 2Guille FernándezM
- 4David LópezD
- 15John NwankwoD
- 29L. OrejuelaD
- 17Arnau PuigmalM
- 23Antoniu RocaF
- 1Diego FuoliG
- 7Ton RipollD
- 14Óscar SanzD
- 6Edgar GonzálezD
- 4Miki CodinaD
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 20UrriM
- 8Pere PonsM
- 10Ángel BaenaM
- 23J. PriegoF
- 16N. GioacchiniF
- 30Xavier Moreno HernándezF
- 29P. NuamahF
- 9N. ObolskiyF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 2PipaD
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 21Alain RibeiroM
- 12Gastón VallesF
- 25Marc VidalG
Form going into Mallorca vs Sabadell
Mallorca
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Eldense5 September 2026
- W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
- W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026
Sabadell
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Cordoba7 September 2026
- W1-0Almeria29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026
What these results say
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
- Sabadell went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Sabadell kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sabadell had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 19 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mallorca vs Sabadell
- 26 April 2021Sabadell 1–0 MallorcaSegunda División
- 27 September 2020Mallorca 1–0 SabadellSegunda División
Leading scorers: Mallorca and Sabadell
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes61
Sabadell
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mallorca beat Sabadell 2–0. The model had made a win for Mallorca its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Adrian Fuentes 10' for Mallorca, Adrian Fuentes 24' for Mallorca.
How the call on Mallorca v Sabadell has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 50% / 28% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Mallorca's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Mallorca win48%▼ −2
- Draw28%=
- Sabadell win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.