Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Getafe, 28% draw, 30% Deportivo La Coruna — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Getafe at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Line-ups
- 13David SoriaG
- 15S. BoselliD
- 8N. GudeljD
- 2D. DakonamD
- 22J. MojicaD
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 6Mario MartínM
- 23O. MangalaM
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 20Iván AzónF
- 3DavinchiD
- 26J. ValouD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 30Óscar LópezM
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 32JoseluF
- 27Ebrahima DrammehF
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 13Leo RománG
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 20J. GiménezD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 19Luismi CruzM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 32B. NsongoF
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 17AngeliñoD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 11David MellaF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 10PekeF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 22B. EdeD
Form going into Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Getafe
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Celta Vigo7 September 2026
- L0-1away to Osasuna31 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Partizan27 August 2026
- W1-0Racing Santander23 August 2026
- W3-1FK Partizan20 August 2026
Deportivo La Coruna
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Villarreal5 September 2026
- W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
- D1-1Elche17 August 2026
What these results say
- Getafe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Getafe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
- 28 February 2018Getafe 3–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 30 September 2017Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 GetafeLa Liga
- 1 May 2016Deportivo La Coruna 0–2 GetafeLa Liga
- 30 December 2015Getafe 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 5 April 2015Getafe 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna
Getafe
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Getafe at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ramón Terrats 66' for Getafe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78' for Deportivo La Coruna.
How the call on Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Getafe's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Getafe win42%▼ −6
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Deportivo La Coruna win30%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.