Tenerife vs Leganes Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Tenerife 2-0 Leganes.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Tenerife, 29% draw, 29% Leganes — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tenerife at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tenerife vs Leganes
Line-ups
- 1Dani MartínG
- 19César ÁlvarezD
- 12A. LandázuriD
- 4José LeónD
- 2David RodríguezD
- 29Daniel FernándezM
- 15FabricioM
- 6JuanjoM
- 10Nacho GilM
- 18Enric GallegoF
- 8VÃctor MorenoF
- 24Iván ChapelaF
- 17C. GomisF
- 3R. JureškinD
- 23A. KrdžalićM
- 9De MiguelF
- 14Gerard ValentínF
- 20M. PittónM
- 7M. PečarM
- 5Jorge MorenoD
- 13L. ZidaneG
- 11Naim GarcíaD
- 6Lalo AguilarD
- 5Ignasi MiquelD
- 2MarvelD
- 22Álex SancrisD
- 10Z. BuurmeesterM
- 20Miguel AtienzaM
- 8Y. KechtaM
- 17Ismaël GharbiF
- 21Álvaro MorataF
- 28Álex FitaD
- 1Raúl FernándezG
- 32Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedF
- 18Andrés CamposF
- 31Nico LozanoG
- 9Álex MillánF
- 3Javi MonteroD
- 19P. SokoF
- 4Rubén PulidoD
Form going into Tenerife vs Leganes
Tenerife
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Real Sociedad II5 September 2026
- L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
- W3-1away to Eibar16 August 2026
Leganes
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Las Palmas4 September 2026
- W1-0Eldense29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Oviedo22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Girona16 August 2026
What these results say
- Tenerife scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Tenerife conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Tenerife had two goals or fewer.
- Leganes went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Leganes had two goals or fewer.
- Leganes scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tenerife vs Leganes
- 8 August 2026Leganes 0–0 TenerifeFriendlies Clubs
- 19 April 2024Tenerife 0–0 LeganesSegunda División
- 20 December 2023Leganes 1–1 TenerifeSegunda División
- 29 April 2023Tenerife 1–0 LeganesSegunda División
- 23 October 2022Leganes 2–1 TenerifeSegunda División
Leading scorers: Tenerife and Leganes
Tenerife
GoalsAssists
- Enric Gallego70
Leganes
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tenerife beat Leganes 2–0. The model had made a win for Tenerife its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Enric Gallego (penalty) 25' for Tenerife, Enric Gallego 74' for Tenerife.