Eliteserien · Regular Season - 16 · 1 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord

Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

The model makes it 49% Fredrikstad, 25% draw, 26% Sandefjord — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Fredrikstad 1.75, Sandefjord 1.22.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

59%
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 10%1-0 8%

Head-to-head: Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord

  • 25 May 2026Sandefjord 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 26 October 2025Sandefjord 0–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 21 April 2025Fredrikstad 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 15 February 2025Sandefjord 2–2 FredrikstadFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 December 2024Sandefjord 0–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 28 April 2024Fredrikstad 1–0 SandefjordEliteserien
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Fredrikstad the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Fredrikstad against 1.22 for Sandefjord. Fredrikstad's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.78 for Sandefjord.