Start vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Start 0-3 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Start, 24% draw, 32% Viking — fair odds of 2.27, 4.17 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Start at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Start vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Jacob PrytsG
- 29Erlend Dahl ReitanD
- 6John Olav NorheimD
- 28Jens Berland HusebøD
- 27Ousmane Diallo ToureM
- 10Steve MvouéM
- 20Hakon LorentzenM
- 16Tom StrannegårdM
- 11Eirik SchulzeF
- 17Jesper CorneliusF
- 22James AmpofoF
- 39Dennis BirkenesG
- 3Altin UjkaniD
- 4Johan MeyerD
- 30Lukas Hjelleset GausdalM
- 12Deni DashaevD
- 14Markus SoometsM
- 35Santino SamuyiwaM
- 1Arild ØstbøG
- 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
- 5Henrik HeggheimD
- 3Viljar VevatneD
- 28Kristoffer HaugenD
- 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
- 29Tobias MoiM
- 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
- 10Zlatko TripićF
- 20Peter ChristiansenF
- 17Edvin AustbøF
- 30Ľubomír BelkoG
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 38Fillip Voster BotnenD
- 2Herman Johan HaugenD
- 15Ola VistedM
- 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadF
- 16Ruben AlteM
- 33Jakob Segadal HansenM
- 11Romano PostemaF
Form going into Start vs Viking
Start
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Kristiansund BK25 July 2026
- L0-3Rosenborg18 July 2026
Viking
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Aalesund26 July 2026
- W2-1away to Lillestrom22 July 2026
- W2-1Sandefjord18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Start vs Viking
- 16 May 2026Viking 6–3 StartEliteserien
- 6 February 2026Viking 4–0 StartFriendlies Clubs
- 23 March 2025Start 4–3 VikingFriendlies Clubs
- 25 April 2021Viking 3–3 StartFriendlies Clubs
- 28 November 2020Viking 4–1 StartEliteserien
Leading scorers: Start and Viking
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen157
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking won 3–0 at Start. The model had leaned towards a win for Start at 44% and given a win for Viking 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Z. Tripic (penalty) 5' for Viking, P. Christiansen 18' for Viking, E. Austbo 22' for Viking. On expected goals it finished 1.73–1.28.