Eliteserien · Regular Season - 16 · 1 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Start vs Viking

Kristiansand

The model makes it 44% Start, 24% draw, 32% Viking — fair odds of 2.27, 4.17 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Start 1.70, Viking 1.43.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

63%
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 9%1-2 8%

Head-to-head: Start vs Viking

  • 16 May 2026Viking 6–3 StartEliteserien
  • 6 February 2026Viking 4–0 StartFriendlies Clubs
  • 23 March 2025Start 4–3 VikingFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 April 2021Viking 3–3 StartFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 November 2020Viking 4–1 StartEliteserien
  • 4 July 2020Start 1–1 VikingEliteserien
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Start the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.7 expected goals for Start against 1.43 for Viking. Start's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.2 for Viking.