Eliteserien · Regular Season - 16 · 2 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Aalesund vs Tromso

Color Line Stadion

The model makes it 40% Aalesund, 23% draw, 37% Tromso — fair odds of 2.50, 4.35 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Aalesund 1.75, Tromso 1.68.

Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

68%
Both teams to score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 8%1-2 8%

Head-to-head: Aalesund vs Tromso

  • 25 May 2026Tromso 1–1 AalesundEliteserien
  • 8 March 2025Aalesund 1–0 TromsoFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 October 2023Tromso 1–2 AalesundEliteserien
  • 11 June 2023Aalesund 2–3 TromsoEliteserien
  • 13 November 2022Tromso 2–2 AalesundEliteserien
  • 18 April 2022Aalesund 2–2 TromsoEliteserien
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Aalesund the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Aalesund against 1.68 for Tromso. Aalesund's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.6 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.2 for Tromso.